Ukraine · resolved market
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf38279911bbe04447c444ffc59d55a9afbd8b9c7eb9837be02381d45710c8085
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $504,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $432,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $504,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 327 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 9c | 22,540$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.97 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…e1c9backed Yes | 21c | 16,011$3,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,383.44 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed Yes | 19c | 15,106$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940.35 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 66c | 12,236$8,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,123.53 | 144 | 56.9%82 W · 62 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 23c | 11,876$2,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,753.71 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked No | 79c | 9,331$7,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.45 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…4455backed Yes | 13c | 8,972$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Yes | 6c | 8,932$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.69 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…6149backed No | 78c | 8,193$6,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…5933backed Yes | 29c | 8,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 6,500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 5c | 6,451$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.51 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed Yes | 20c | 6,000$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.36 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 0c | 5,545$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes | 13c | 5,299$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.34 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 14c | 5,091$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.9 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 16c | 4,972$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.34 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 12c | 4,633$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 4,512$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 77c | 4,464$3,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.58 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 14c | 4,244$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.24 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 14c | 4,009$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.43 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c09…dbfabacked Yes | 17c | 3,957$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -71%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 26c | 3,684$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.06 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3313…8355backed Yes | 9c | 3,274$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…70c0backed Yes | 32c | 3,036$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes | 30c | 3,000$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859e…df37backed Yes | 9c | 2,981$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 6c | 2,902$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.76 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b2…4e48backed Yes | 12c | 2,900$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x393c…7a6dbacked Yes | 9c | 2,882$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb438…cb51backed Yes | 1c | 2,848$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 20c | 2,789$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.36 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74b5…e2ffbacked No | 70c | 2,600$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.01 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fd83backed Yes | 1c | 2,583$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 17c | 2,528$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.29 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ea…0140backed No | 52c | 2,490$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.92 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa955…7e84backed Yes | 1c | 2,454$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…9026backed No | 51c | 2,352$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.99 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Yes | 11c | 2,318$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.85 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…5f1abacked No | 41c | 2,090$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.55 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Yes | 28c | 2,000$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe443…c065backed Yes | 5c | 1,913$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 15c | 1,807$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.68 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…17b7backed No | 67c | 1,775$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.69 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce17…0131backed No | 76c | 1,697$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…2c6bbacked No | 56c | 1,618$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.37 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…89cfbacked No | 48c | 1,596$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -65%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 38c | 1,584$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed Yes | 53c | 1,572$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.83 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 13c | 1,525$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.54 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 8c | 1,499$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.58 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed No | 60c | 1,443$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.51 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,432$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.16 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +284.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…0f53backed Yes | 9c | 1,411$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.77 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 1,382$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.18 | 70 | 4.3%3 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 60c | 1,277$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.71 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 8c | 1,258$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.46 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2d…46abbacked Yes | 16c | 1,243$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -67%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a5…6851backed Yes | 3c | 1,240$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 76c | 1,200$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.42 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…25adbacked Yes | 50c | 1,150$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.6 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 41cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5943…2ef2backed Yes | 1c | 1,142$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…e0e5backed Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked No | 80c | 1,133$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.9 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,084$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.11 | 99 | 32.3%32 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…8da0backed Yes | 20c | 1,075$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.98 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc160…ce0abacked No | 56c | 1,042$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.7 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 31c | 1,026$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 13c | 1,020$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.6 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 16c | 1,013$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd698…dfc0backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39c…08bcbacked Yes | 57c | 1,000$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc608…a4eebacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ae…7a7ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…6fcbbacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1923…3b76backed Yes | 31c | 968.21$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…3e08backed No | 63c | 965.8$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.15 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…658cbacked Yes | 59c | 947.55$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d8…0a63backed Yes | 24c | 874.75$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7538…88e7backed Yes | 17c | 862.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…5f67backed Yes | 53c | 842.68$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…b534backed Yes | 16c | 813.04$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed Yes | 16c | 805.25$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 7c | 763.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 13c | 743.61$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.48 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 18c | 728.41$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.52 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b6…f9d9backed No | 72c | 720$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fca…7477backed No | 43c | 702$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.14 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ca…815abacked Yes | 17c | 690.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92a…2818backed Yes | 7c | 689.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…d7ebbacked No | 76c | 666.61$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x269a…0837backed No | 45c | 664.28$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.28 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3379…c283backed Yes | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 11c | 648.85$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.52 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e91…42e5backed Yes | 10c | 645.8$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 10c | 644.55$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…bfacbacked Yes | 61c | 612.75$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.23 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.