Cricket · resolved market
ICC Champions Trophy Final: India vs. New Zealand
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d99e6c5be39e714ed56fc030e42af4632d786bc26002247371a9424d928f599
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiaof India, New Zealand
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,426
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,426 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked India | 66c | 7,541$4,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,559.77 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…cf32backed New Zealand | 25c | 4,200$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked New Zealand | 35c | 1,578$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4431…70b4backed New Zealand | 33c | 1,212$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4964…4fddbacked New Zealand | 32c | 1,157$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.35 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b3…4f6ebacked New Zealand | 31c | 1,100$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed India | 70c | 994.71$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked India | 68c | 990.19$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x937e…ccb0backed New Zealand | 33c | 853.36$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…37e0backed India | 70c | 715.55$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…8f76backed New Zealand | 35c | 682.23$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked India | 69c | 586.98$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed India | 66c | 459.19$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e8…0ae1backed New Zealand | 6c | 302.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked India | 70c | 297.64$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.57 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…fc37backed New Zealand | 33c | 296.94$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f4…1f9cbacked New Zealand | 34c | 294.76$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked India | 67c | 291.95$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.34 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed New Zealand | 28c | 275.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked New Zealand | 18c | 238.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22bf…782dbacked India | 77c | 236.46$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f4…2318backed New Zealand | 24c | 235.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2124…d26cbacked New Zealand | 44c | 227.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf729…ab76backed New Zealand | 5c | 220$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc28…a26ebacked New Zealand | 14c | 190.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x106c…474cbacked New Zealand | 34c | 180.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed New Zealand | 13c | 142.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14bb…882bbacked India | 71c | 141.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…70f7backed India | 70c | 133.09$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11f…ccbabacked India | 71c | 130$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked New Zealand | 30c | 129.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa568…12f6backed New Zealand | 18c | 112.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed India | 65c | 105$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd8…a8eebacked New Zealand | 26c | 102.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…3327backed India | 70c | 100.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…eb07backed New Zealand | 24c | 100.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fce…2566backed New Zealand | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e5…b199backed New Zealand | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed New Zealand | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x037e…e009backed India | 70c | 94.29$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed New Zealand | 28c | 89.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…5b67backed India | 72c | 83.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed India | 76c | 67.64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked India | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…f285backed New Zealand | 31c | 48.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed New Zealand | 30c | 45.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb8…8ed6backed New Zealand | 33c | 43.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed India | 66c | 32.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e23…0673backed New Zealand | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed India | 69c | 28.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.