NBA · resolved market
Will Billy Donovan make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8f9e575ef8a4cb1b3e8fb0aef8e98cb74cbaac2ba207a4b952eee31e63c6af1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33cc…5774backed No | 26c | 373$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f6…892dbacked Yes | 67c | 263$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…c512backed No | 37c | 247$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd4…2067backed Yes | 66c | 226$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…1af7backed No | 33c | 220$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d4…3b90backed Yes | 60c | 207$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb37…e671backed Yes | 54c | 206$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9a…46b6backed No | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c2…4beabacked No | 26c | 192$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…bf56backed No | 20c | 178$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f22…3c3dbacked No | 33c | 164$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fa…196dbacked No | 78c | 159$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.61 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ef…4808backed Yes | 74c | 149$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7d…828fbacked Yes | 63c | 139$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bb…b014backed No | 37c | 138$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9c…7b90backed Yes | 73c | 133$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc8…00f1backed Yes | 60c | 132$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…a0f5backed No | 14c | 130$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a6…d09dbacked No | 37c | 130$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d25…cf7cbacked No | 37c | 128$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ab…a20ebacked Yes | 63c | 126$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed Yes | 35c | 122$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bac…e892backed Yes | 67c | 122$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…93fbbacked Yes | 67c | 121$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c4…d528backed Yes | 74c | 116$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aca…37cebacked Yes | 74c | 114$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd3…c8e2backed No | 37c | 114$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d0…1db8backed No | 31c | 111$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 57cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x560a…f991backed No | 43c | 108$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…9a83backed No | 25c | 108$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3540…6bb9backed Yes | 63c | 108$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…dc74backed Yes | 63c | 106$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…2bb2backed No | 16c | 106$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee3…4969backed Yes | 52c | 106$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…791ebacked Yes | 58c | 102$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44db…10fcbacked Yes | 60c | 101$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…af4ebacked No | 33c | 101$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc4…f39bbacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb72…51f6backed No | 34c | 99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9060…5ed2backed No | 34c | 98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…8cb9backed No | 16c | 98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7625…27d7backed Yes | 74c | 96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2328…3610backed No | 37c | 95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…e172backed Yes | 69c | 94$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x790e…8676backed Yes | 74c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf534…faafbacked Yes | 63c | 84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…db0ebacked No | 14c | 83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5435…1fafbacked No | 37c | 82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4276…7e00backed Yes | 58c | 82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a8…1f24backed Yes | 69c | 81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732c…1243backed No | 26c | 79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e1…3bc9backed No | 40c | 78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…c4e9backed No | 17c | 76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…c18abacked No | 43c | 74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b22…dd1ebacked Yes | 75c | 73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d9…a59dbacked No | 42c | 71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c24…cf59backed Yes | 63c | 71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c820backed Yes | 69c | 71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524b…d14abacked Yes | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…702dbacked No | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f9b8backed No | 20c | 69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…a1f2backed No | 43c | 69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa243…51a7backed No | 36c | 68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e8…b7b5backed No | 23c | 67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…5497backed No | 31c | 67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc735…175bbacked Yes | 65c | 67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…a3aabacked Yes | 62c | 67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c0…0131backed Yes | 63c | 67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…e697backed No | 20c | 66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…e2c0backed No | 26c | 66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6017…e5cabacked Yes | 57c | 64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…9031backed No | 40c | 63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7834…19acbacked No | 42c | 63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf427…be16backed No | 37c | 59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf037…a43bbacked Yes | 62c | 58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c71…83c4backed Yes | 68c | 58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27f…f07ebacked Yes | 55c | 58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…8066backed No | 34c | 57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…54a4backed No | 36c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fe…dba6backed Yes | 63c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…22c3backed Yes | 63c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b3…02e0backed No | 40c | 54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711e…1007backed No | 34c | 53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c2…298cbacked Yes | 66c | 52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8306…15e2backed Yes | 80c | 52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c2…5413backed No | 36c | 51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe701…05aabacked No | 34c | 51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…c402backed Yes | 57c | 51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b41…1db4backed No | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bf…153fbacked Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39e…4946backed No | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323f…8624backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda9b…ff18backed No | 42c | 49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b24…5ce2backed No | 46c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…8ddabacked No | 32c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fec…9822backed No | 37c | 47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…6e47backed No | 36c | 47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54d…2972backed No | 43c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…6844backed Yes | 68c | 46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +1,193%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed No | 35c | 45.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Billy Donovan make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?this page
- Will Carmelo Anthony make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?Yes won
- Will Doc Rivers make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?No won
- Will Dwight Howard make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?Yes won
- Will Marc Gasol make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?No won
- Will Mark Few make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?No won
- Will Maya Moore make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?Yes won
- Will Micky Arison make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?Yes won
- Will Sue Bird make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.