NBA · resolved market
Will Doc Rivers make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ac003b921dfd6a600be92869eff622b3d8b232a3262b52560987d1924db7fb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf645…b8c2backed Yes | 6c | 301.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd64a…2fa2backed Yes | 24c | 272$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 156 | 40.4%63 W · 93 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked No | 77c | 239.61$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 102 | 26.5%27 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Yes | 47c | 230$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.54 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed No | 26c | 127.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.93 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96af…e243backed Yes | 62c | 96.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf089…adbcbacked No | 45c | 31.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 52c | 28.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…af06backed Yes | 54c | 23.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Doc Rivers make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?this page
- Will Billy Donovan make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?Yes won
- Will Carmelo Anthony make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?Yes won
- Will Dwight Howard make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?Yes won
- Will Marc Gasol make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?No won
- Will Mark Few make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?No won
- Will Maya Moore make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?Yes won
- Will Micky Arison make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?Yes won
- Will Sue Bird make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.