NBA · resolved market
Will Mark Few make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x539d976e4a121b2e82f87681e684bcb4de1ae334b9f9ed8aba770204f11e7381
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Yes | 9c | 505.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ac…c395backed Yes | 10c | 366$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd8…43a9backed No | 58c | 335$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc389…2971backed Yes | 37c | 277$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed Yes | 15c | 274.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ce…5621backed Yes | 32c | 274$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x978a…91b0backed Yes | 37c | 262$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee42…a1d6backed Yes | 42c | 253$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…4e08backed Yes | 41c | 231$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37fc…a9e8backed No | 51c | 228$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bd…21ecbacked No | 71c | 202$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…0eccbacked No | 63c | 202$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 17c | 192.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef9…6815backed Yes | 37c | 188$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5db…1c06backed No | 63c | 187$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7b…3c8fbacked No | 58c | 181$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c4…bbd7backed No | 59c | 178$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4389…8a0abacked No | 64c | 177$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 12c | 166$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…809cbacked Yes | 36c | 165$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x794a…19c1backed No | 33c | 150$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9eb…d71cbacked No | 63c | 142$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b6…2434backed Yes | 37c | 142$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…4be7backed Yes | 41c | 138$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…ed01backed No | 68c | 137$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…43f1backed Yes | 42c | 136$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a88…9c4cbacked Yes | 41c | 132$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…c65ebacked Yes | 62c | 128$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 16c | 125.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d6…4c20backed No | 65c | 125$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c85…0158backed Yes | 42c | 116$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 23c | 114.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…1638backed No | 63c | 111$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…ef25backed Yes | 42c | 111$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Yes | 17c | 110$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5228…268abacked No | 63c | 109$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…9b27backed No | 64c | 102$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ef…62cfbacked Yes | 35c | 102$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…222bbacked No | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9e…7447backed No | 41c | 99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7361…70d9backed Yes | 41c | 98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…8ce3backed No | 58c | 98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c0…9194backed No | 58c | 98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5c…ce53backed No | 59c | 95$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…e7a8backed No | 59c | 94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3346…0aa4backed Yes | 36c | 92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7db9…a395backed No | 59c | 91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfa…22adbacked No | 63c | 88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900d…5d1bbacked No | 59c | 87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…2346backed No | 58c | 86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…17bbbacked Yes | 41c | 81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b15…a866backed Yes | 59c | 81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b3…0330backed Yes | 42c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d8…4d6fbacked No | 66c | 79$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60c…f5d9backed Yes | 35c | 79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd27…80acbacked No | 42c | 74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…7b41backed Yes | 42c | 74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…c18abacked Yes | 34c | 73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa325…4d18backed Yes | 37c | 72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b7…91fabacked No | 42c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…7d93backed No | 43c | 69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…6391backed Yes | 29c | 68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b12…2bb4backed No | 63c | 66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d9…dd81backed Yes | 37c | 65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf7…1bafbacked Yes | 58c | 65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3288…03a0backed Yes | 57c | 65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb303…f2afbacked Yes | 37c | 64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bca…71cdbacked No | 42c | 64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…4a37backed Yes | 36c | 64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d0…d295backed Yes | 37c | 63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…9864backed Yes | 68c | 62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde4…4cc7backed Yes | 68c | 61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x069d…e2fdbacked No | 63c | 61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4a…eed1backed Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c19…8de8backed Yes | 36c | 59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e2…9e5abacked Yes | 29c | 58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…b8e3backed No | 68c | 58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…75dfbacked No | 64c | 58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…20bfbacked No | 59c | 58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…cbc9backed No | 38c | 57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +160.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365c…495cbacked No | 58c | 57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bc…4fd7backed No | 59c | 56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43df…07b4backed Yes | 35c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c0…ae11backed Yes | 37c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf048…ab08backed Yes | 29c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9319…7bf7backed Yes | 36c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…fcdbbacked Yes | 41c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…492cbacked Yes | 29c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5053…aa32backed Yes | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa309…8e3fbacked Yes | 36c | 54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7390…402cbacked Yes | 37c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ad…be3dbacked No | 71c | 53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…27a7backed Yes | 29c | 53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…cf43backed No | 59c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4458…6cd4backed Yes | 29c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc927…cd61backed Yes | 36c | 52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b79…5a1dbacked No | 64c | 52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79de…f135backed Yes | 37c | 52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed66…caccbacked Yes | 58c | 51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mark Few make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?this page
- Will Billy Donovan make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?Yes won
- Will Carmelo Anthony make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?Yes won
- Will Doc Rivers make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?No won
- Will Dwight Howard make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?Yes won
- Will Marc Gasol make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?No won
- Will Maya Moore make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?Yes won
- Will Micky Arison make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?Yes won
- Will Sue Bird make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.