NBA · resolved market
Will Micky Arison make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e688c735bbd853d9454db63163b6b61d299c67b23f2529310b8e27cca634bbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc1a…e11bbacked Yes | 6c | 370.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 10cpaid | +1,272.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2323…3e4ebacked Yes | 49c | 357$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 15c | 309.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.58 | 234 | 38.9%91 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…2dcabacked No | 38c | 304$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 38cpaid | +220%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9589…47a7backed Yes | 37c | 288$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ca…d5e3backed Yes | 37c | 240$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f1…93c3backed No | 60c | 208$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe40d…63c8backed Yes | 62c | 195$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…98e5backed Yes | 26c | 189$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 26cpaid | +292.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…00b5backed No | 32c | 182$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x531e…94a2backed No | 60c | 181$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79a8…58f0backed Yes | 25c | 179$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f56…43e9backed Yes | 55c | 179$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb37…e671backed Yes | 25c | 178$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…59c2backed No | 64c | 170$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc072…fe79backed No | 63c | 157$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d04…bf7cbacked No | 63c | 150$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…d6c9backed No | 45c | 147$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd151…86a2backed No | 63c | 146$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x446c…c4dcbacked No | 75c | 139$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2f…b57bbacked Yes | 46c | 136$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Yes | 16c | 130$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 16c | 126$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x896b…2dd0backed Yes | 27c | 122$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 16cpaid | +1,244.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb50…0eedbacked No | 64c | 118$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8b…99a9backed No | 63c | 114$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77e0…7818backed Yes | 62c | 113$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…c61abacked Yes | 40c | 112$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a0…8d50backed No | 63c | 111$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ac…4e3abacked Yes | 26c | 109$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe776…5f73backed No | 32c | 109$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3b…04fabacked Yes | 46c | 104$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939f…073bbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee2…fe3cbacked Yes | 26c | 99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…f6e5backed No | 75c | 95$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfb…cbb3backed Yes | 36c | 94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…a0babacked Yes | 16c | 92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.74 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…f038backed No | 60c | 91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…332abacked Yes | 40c | 90$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…0455backed No | 54c | 89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee50…b44ebacked No | 54c | 86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…2d80backed Yes | 24c | 85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +309.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…8239backed Yes | 35c | 85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +182.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x096b…8241backed Yes | 53c | 83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…0ee0backed No | 75c | 83$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76de…4c7dbacked Yes | 26c | 82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +175.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…7494backed No | 54c | 81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadd…4ea2backed Yes | 62c | 81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…e1f3backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +293.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe68…6d2bbacked No | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 24c | 80$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8032…e135backed Yes | 62c | 78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d5…a9f8backed Yes | 36c | 77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadd1…7868backed No | 75c | 77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…2c06backed No | 54c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…7db7backed Yes | 35c | 74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb69…ba0fbacked Yes | 26c | 74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 26cpaid | +292.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…4df5backed Yes | 26c | 73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41e…75c2backed No | 64c | 72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fa…4e18backed No | 38c | 71.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa20b…716fbacked No | 65c | 71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1314…76e3backed Yes | 26c | 71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e1…b4adbacked Yes | 68c | 71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3986…b83cbacked Yes | 26c | 70$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60af…5a25backed Yes | 26c | 70$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38cc…6409backed Yes | 24c | 68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…6525backed No | 56c | 68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac02…793fbacked No | 45c | 68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ad…10a8backed No | 63c | 68$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb73…afc8backed No | 75c | 66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fb0bbacked Yes | 52c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2172…722ebacked Yes | 26c | 65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 26cpaid | +292.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d17…23bcbacked No | 38c | 62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 36c | 61.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824c…c3c4backed Yes | 25c | 61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +304.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…c6f6backed Yes | 36c | 61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x679f…3264backed No | 74c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…7335backed Yes | 25c | 59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +165.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb010…d83cbacked Yes | 36c | 57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +174.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41c…cf34backed Yes | 36c | 57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…904cbacked Yes | 25c | 56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +304.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x390c…7a0bbacked Yes | 36c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd728…c413backed Yes | 25c | 54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +293.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…de3ebacked Yes | 25c | 53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa813…fc80backed Yes | 35c | 53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +182.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d1…be3fbacked Yes | 46c | 53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd00a…7f28backed Yes | 25c | 52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833b…90e9backed Yes | 24c | 52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +309.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d5…ff97backed Yes | 67c | 52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea57…738bbacked No | 48c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f2…c771backed Yes | 25c | 52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +293.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba9d…6b5cbacked Yes | 36c | 52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78cb…eb1ebacked No | 63c | 52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…a37cbacked Yes | 37c | 51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +173.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…394fbacked Yes | 55c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…c500backed No | 75c | 51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf468…6638backed No | 54c | 51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d4…fbd8backed No | 65c | 49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…4133backed Yes | 36c | 49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Micky Arison make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?this page
- Will Billy Donovan make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?Yes won
- Will Carmelo Anthony make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?Yes won
- Will Doc Rivers make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?No won
- Will Dwight Howard make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?Yes won
- Will Marc Gasol make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?No won
- Will Mark Few make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?No won
- Will Maya Moore make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?Yes won
- Will Sue Bird make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.