NBA · resolved market
Will Maya Moore make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x990e59a9b2fd9bf42e53878cadf23a04e07a928ee1caffa9accc46053f41df7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb678…f74dbacked No | 0c | 11,973$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6333…e34bbacked No | 16c | 1,035$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x280e…a5dabacked No | 16c | 840$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e27…8d57backed No | 16c | 677$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1824…c8c5backed No | 16c | 651$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.16 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…23e7backed No | 16c | 360$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…44ebbacked No | 24c | 322$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46eb…4d20backed No | 16c | 321$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef4…6df0backed No | 16c | 305$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df6…8dcbbacked No | 23c | 267$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x120b…07c9backed Yes | 78c | 244$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce21…7738backed Yes | 76c | 199$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x409b…2a9dbacked No | 16c | 197$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb14…26e8backed Yes | 78c | 195.75$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3093…2dcebacked No | 21c | 192$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42db…9825backed No | 21c | 182$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x105c…0aa3backed No | 21c | 175$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a9…4fcdbacked Yes | 76c | 156$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ade…28d0backed Yes | 76c | 156$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6448…921ebacked No | 24c | 156$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62d4…3b90backed Yes | 79c | 152$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…9960backed No | 16c | 149$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…7ad7backed No | 18c | 139$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…31ddbacked No | 16c | 139$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…c2b7backed No | 20c | 131$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…df05backed Yes | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb9…2daebacked Yes | 79c | 116$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…451ebacked No | 21c | 116$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…d89fbacked No | 21c | 110$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77e0…7818backed No | 16c | 108$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a8…d521backed No | 17c | 108$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed Yes | 70c | 106.19$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d4…6fdfbacked No | 16c | 105$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c9…8388backed No | 16c | 104$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ba…8ae2backed No | 24c | 103$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…77dfbacked No | 21c | 98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…9397backed Yes | 79c | 93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd989…144cbacked No | 16c | 92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…0fa8backed No | 24c | 92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…370dbacked No | 16c | 89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9c…cfccbacked No | 24c | 88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ac…ff64backed Yes | 79c | 87$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…d4fbbacked Yes | 79c | 86$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…f038backed No | 16c | 84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…cee0backed No | 16c | 83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d49…69b0backed No | 16c | 83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Yes | 77c | 82.1$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbff…293fbacked No | 16c | 82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…625cbacked No | 21c | 82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f7…95ffbacked No | 24c | 81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec9…366dbacked No | 18c | 81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x467b…66ecbacked Yes | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…386abacked No | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ce…f9f0backed No | 24c | 79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab47…80ebbacked No | 21c | 79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…60d2backed Yes | 80c | 76$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d9…a59dbacked No | 18c | 74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed3…72cbbacked Yes | 79c | 74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab8…e594backed Yes | 79c | 73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…b736backed No | 21c | 72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c15…a0c8backed No | 16c | 69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a06…b81bbacked No | 18c | 69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb5…75d2backed Yes | 76c | 66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba4…ea98backed No | 21c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 32c | 64.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fe…a57fbacked No | 16c | 63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c81…05c9backed No | 21c | 62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed Yes | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa902…b947backed No | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +1,182.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a4…692bbacked No | 21c | 56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae2…7f3bbacked No | 24c | 54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5034…4160backed Yes | 76c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…dc1dbacked Yes | 76c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5299…e1debacked No | 24c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d77…058dbacked Yes | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +197.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…92d5backed No | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabf…98e2backed Yes | 79c | 48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb559…4dd0backed No | 25c | 47.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d95…4fe1backed No | 24c | 47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab0…c471backed Yes | 79c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…7e80backed Yes | 80c | 46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x798f…ab79backed Yes | 79c | 46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…e290backed Yes | 76c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…05b4backed Yes | 79c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0b…964bbacked Yes | 79c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8826…9607backed Yes | 76c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa298…5666backed Yes | 79c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…75cebacked Yes | 76c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5504…60b8backed Yes | 79c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d79…6774backed Yes | 76c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…38cdbacked Yes | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc5…cca8backed Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d06…693bbacked Yes | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa285…cd09backed Yes | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7c…df2ebacked Yes | 76c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0445…d2cabacked Yes | 79c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c0…5706backed Yes | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ea…d25ebacked Yes | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…cbf8backed Yes | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Maya Moore make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?this page
- Will Billy Donovan make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?Yes won
- Will Carmelo Anthony make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?Yes won
- Will Doc Rivers make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?No won
- Will Dwight Howard make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?Yes won
- Will Marc Gasol make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?No won
- Will Mark Few make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?No won
- Will Micky Arison make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?Yes won
- Will Sue Bird make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.