Space · resolved market
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x125c09306c5482d6c1512bc2cd6b31ad43f8cab0aa3c94a3306eb9091ed96072
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Spaceevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Space is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Space | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa271…2727backed No | 1c | 4,163$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 75c | 2,000$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff21…4643backed No | 2c | 1,374$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7057…a052backed No | 4c | 1,252$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 2c | 1,089$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76fb…c306backed Yes | 66c | 1,046$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.41 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 40c | 766.57$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.08 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 2c | 720.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe0…4c7bbacked Yes | 16c | 608.83$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.06 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…1dcfbacked No | 5c | 585$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde2b…73a0backed No | 5c | 526$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2884…d0c3backed Yes | 80c | 515.28$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 3c | 482.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf812…494bbacked No | 27c | 475$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 22c | 455$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c2e0backed No | 6c | 411$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed No | 6c | 397$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d7…8c45backed No | 6c | 389$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 387.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 3c | 354.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 9c | 349.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 50c | 342.48$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.61 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…b5cebacked No | 4c | 332$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed No | 5c | 319$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…ebc2backed No | 5c | 306$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…41e3backed No | 40c | 303$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…6d4abacked Yes | 60c | 303$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ed…28e1backed No | 5c | 295$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc2…3ef7backed Yes | 60c | 270$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d9…b173backed Yes | 38c | 264.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +273%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…4c8cbacked Yes | 39c | 261$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d77…fdbebacked Yes | 33c | 242$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed No | 6c | 236$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 25c | 231.08$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 18c | 218$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.64 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.27per pick | 32cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked No | 6c | 215$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…0b1ebacked No | 5c | 210$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…990ebacked No | 6c | 202$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 20c | 201$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 35c | 198.56$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.06 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…5e7bbacked No | 6c | 192$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…69d2backed No | 5c | 192$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…8adebacked No | 6c | 191.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…01a3backed No | 6c | 187$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 76c | 182$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.64 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7b…8f3abacked Yes | 53c | 156$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da3…1336backed No | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf15d…7545backed Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed Yes | 48c | 121$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae89…9fb7backed Yes | 60c | 114.95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc68…2885backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5449…3d0ebacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc728…7c84backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed No | 56c | 99.51$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7a…14b6backed Yes | 26c | 94.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 23c | 93.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…904fbacked No | 24c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…1dadbacked No | 24c | 77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3553…6437backed Yes | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed Yes | 47c | 72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 20c | 67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6936…cd51backed Yes | 25c | 64.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…3549backed Yes | 49c | 60.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d77…058dbacked No | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…5fa9backed Yes | 50c | 55.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 27c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 35c | 52.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…d3ecbacked Yes | 20c | 52.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc87d…a370backed Yes | 50c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e5…b336backed Yes | 50c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…8831backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…32e3backed Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fb…4064backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da5…79eebacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 57c | 48.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…d3e6backed No | 55c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fc…ae36backed Yes | 45c | 48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d3…7e3dbacked No | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…eb65backed No | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…bd14backed No | 54c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac9…99a9backed Yes | 32c | 46.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31de…af6ebacked Yes | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…1ed6backed Yes | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47cf…66b2backed No | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed No | 57c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce22…70d2backed Yes | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfabb…5efcbacked Yes | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x233b…82cbbacked No | 54c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…d49dbacked Yes | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a59…8225backed Yes | 45c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 45c | 38.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x18d6…7d82backed Yes | 35c | 35.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +142%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…64a1backed Yes | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5198…543dbacked No | 66c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 52c | 31.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Space and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2025?this page
- Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2025?No won
- Will SpaceX have between 100-119 launches in 2025?No won
- Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2025?No won
- Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2025?No won
- Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2025?No won
- Will SpaceX have less than 100 launches in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.