World Politics · resolved market
Will Canada remove retaliatory tariffs on USA in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x849134233b3e56ac04b6babf4117ad2398ebc1121c12dedabd30a12915ca7b92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe9ab…e269backed Yes | 0c | 27,113$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf652…56afbacked Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 8c | 997.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.78 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +29.2wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x6a15…0246backed Yes | 29c | 762$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.14 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 22c | 654.94$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.3 | 206 | 14.6%30 W · 176 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519a…2ec7backed No | 70c | 620$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…2c6bbacked Yes | 5c | 600$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 62c | 512.62$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.02 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8460…63e3backed Yes | 21c | 481.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…b248backed No | 80c | 459.99$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b2d5backed Yes | 4c | 425$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…ef4cbacked Yes | 22c | 399.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 15c | 396.47$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 16c | 380$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x572a…c1ccbacked Yes | 31c | 323.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +305.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 32c | 301$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.09 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 8c | 295.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed No | 72c | 232.4$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.22 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…f894backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x966a…4d34backed Yes | 25c | 177.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c47…9b02backed No | 78c | 173.13$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8f…162cbacked No | 72c | 170$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fb…2771backed Yes | 30c | 160$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Yes | 12c | 151.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed No | 65c | 147$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 13c | 144.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 239 | 21.3%51 W · 188 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed No | 70c | 137.11$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d02…b35cbacked Yes | 33c | 121.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab3…00fdbacked Yes | 11c | 118.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 22c | 115.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…e959backed Yes | 14c | 110$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 19c | 100.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad1…8c20backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 52cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…e7eebacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 25c | 99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c40…09a6backed No | 78c | 90.01$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xded0…4319backed Yes | 24c | 61.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe535…96d3backed Yes | 36c | 56.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 23c | 54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 31c | 53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ca…2f89backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa568…12f6backed No | 72c | 42.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77e4…44cbbacked Yes | 28c | 36.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e51…2e97backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed6…58b9backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 70cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.