MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ea9c62efe1ef142a0999c239d94a390ff21768a51673db077d8f26e54627c91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof Chicago White Sox, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $328,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $329,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $328,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 101,227$42,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,711.52 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 90,000$52,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,200 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Baltimore Orioles | 6c | 15,132$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 14,046$6,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,861.97 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 13,409$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 3c | 10,394$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.11 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.98 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 9,517$5,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,339.64 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Chicago White Sox | 65c | 8,170$5,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,857 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 7,656$4,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,287.36 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 6,042$3,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,384.64 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 5,231$2,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,326.52 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Chicago White Sox | 44c | 5,114$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,863.83 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.45 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 3,923$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.75 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c73…688ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 3,908$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Chicago White Sox | 45c | 3,300$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 3,182$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.52 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 3,174$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 2,292$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.64 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 2,022$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 1,997$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.16 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfed…9d03backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 1,937$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.34 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…5cecbacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.47 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 1,800$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 1,705$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 1,625$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.96 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 1,580$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.53 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…d70fbacked Chicago White Sox | 46c | 1,570$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.81 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 1,478$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.34 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 1,400$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago White Sox | 75c | 1,316$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.71 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 1,305$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.69 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 1,296$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.74 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 3c | 1,200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…6470backed Baltimore Orioles | 6c | 1,167$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 1,109$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.95 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 1,099$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.65 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 1,078$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.72 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…8a89backed Baltimore Orioles | 2c | 1,071$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 68 | 1.5%1 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…532cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 1,045$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 1,024$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.68 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 999.98$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 936.33$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.77 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df3…dc6fbacked Chicago White Sox | 45c | 882.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…96ddbacked Chicago White Sox | 57c | 864.65$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.8 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Baltimore Orioles | 3c | 810$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 807.02$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Baltimore Orioles | 23c | 800$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.84 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 783.84$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.79 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Chicago White Sox | 47c | 737.57$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.57 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Baltimore Orioles | 2c | 717.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 712.26$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.21 | 253 | 51.8%131 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Chicago White Sox | 63c | 648.83$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.59 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Chicago White Sox | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 15c | 627.83$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 614.04$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.04 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 609.41$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.87 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 608.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.65 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Chicago White Sox | 77c | 597$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.92 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Baltimore Orioles | 6c | 586.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 549.92$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.95 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 9c | 545.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Chicago White Sox | 80c | 510.06$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.25 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Baltimore Orioles | 8c | 503.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…6516backed Chicago White Sox | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdde…0b07backed Baltimore Orioles | 6c | 458$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 455$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.35 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 455$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.8 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 451$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.07 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 3c | 450$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db8…0ed7backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 449.38$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 435$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.6 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Baltimore Orioles | 6c | 422.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Baltimore Orioles | 5c | 416.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec1a…c742backed Baltimore Orioles | 5c | 415.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…80a4backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 408.07$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.6 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 399.98$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.99 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…65c9backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 389.17$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Chicago White Sox | 58c | 352.71$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.56 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 348.49$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.64 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 327$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.39 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 5c | 317.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 315.2$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.66 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 298.25$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.02 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 287.51$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 278.31$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.02 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 275.74$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.17 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23c…07cebacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 275.24$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 269.15$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.44 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 260$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Baltimore Orioles | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 246$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.22 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 12.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 15.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-6.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore OriolesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.