TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$122,737
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$127,883

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,737 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Under51c89,440$45,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,593.2943647%205 W · 231 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over49c29,274$14,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,929.7492054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Over49c22,481$11,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,465.2832251.6%166 W · 156 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over49c15,489$7,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,926.8611,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over49c6,022$2,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,071.134,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Over50c5,187$2,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,593.433554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Over49c4,933$2,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,515.8629147.1%137 W · 154 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Under51c4,902$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50039047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Over50c4,510$2,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,25586548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c4,500$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2955,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over49c4,395$2,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,241.453,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over49c3,233$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,632.831,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under52c3,069$1,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,594.118,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d4…f59bbacked Under51c2,301$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.687352.1%38 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over49c2,089$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.566,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Over49c2,050$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.520648.1%99 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over49c2,048$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.472,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020350.7%103 W · 100 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Under55c1,604$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.152,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Under50c1,039$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.332,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe459…737dbacked Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51010747.7%51 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Over49c827$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.771,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over49c750$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.51,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over49c590.78$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.375248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over45c589.03$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.973,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under51c451$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.058,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec3c…528ebacked Under51c421.16$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.013046.7%14 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over49c407.49$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.8268053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over49c405$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.552,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2041,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15058652.7%309 W · 277 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Over53c255.53$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.181,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over51c241.01$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.694,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over57c236$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.665,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over43c235$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.9529547.1%139 W · 156 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1129,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over49c183.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.342,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Over45c182.31$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.5426438.3%101 W · 163 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc855…07f8backed Under51c176.47$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Over47c149.11$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1111244.6%50 W · 62 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over48c119.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.391,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under51c116.06$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.194,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under43c112$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1692046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9678…594bbacked Under51c107.84$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over44c107$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9248653.7%261 W · 225 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023651.3%121 W · 115 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Over50c102.56$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2857747.7%275 W · 302 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa214…0653backed Over45c100.32$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.783946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5184651.5%436 W · 410 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Under50c99.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7923244%102 W · 130 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over46c94.57$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0767453%357 W · 317 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.81,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under40c75.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.035,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Under55c69.97$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4853950.6%273 W · 266 L+16.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb94…a015backed Over46c65.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.571723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-46.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x721c…d585backed Over60c61.24$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.787754.5%42 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Under44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.434443.9%151 W · 193 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Under51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Under51c56.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2973243.4%318 W · 414 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over49c56.63$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8873849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed Over50c55.88$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1734451.5%177 W · 167 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under50c55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.74,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2567444.1%297 W · 377 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74df…2b11backed Under51c48.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.758050%40 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36f4…0eb2backed Under51c48.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6585949.1%422 W · 437 L-3.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over48c45.85$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.843,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6975…06e1backed Over49c41.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.311369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+40.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over49c40.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.642,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Under52c39.09$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5274657.8%431 W · 315 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee16…16a2backed Under52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204050%20 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c60…01febacked Over50c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.318056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x409d…8f47backed Under51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.311050.9%56 W · 54 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over45c28.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6241051.7%212 W · 198 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under42c27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.341,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd107…add5backed Under51c25.49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131643.8%7 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa402…d14bbacked Under50c25.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6722151.6%114 W · 107 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over48c23.02$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.041,14731.6%362 W · 785 L-97.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa25a…04b7backed Under52c20.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8514546.2%67 W · 78 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Over50c20.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4414750.3%74 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a5…3da0backed Under51c20.17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.297349.3%36 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.61,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Over63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.479255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76d2…99a6backed Over61c17.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.747852.6%41 W · 37 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.