NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Blues
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93f5c5db604300d2729b3cb3954f5b4514fc2522a4b8f8e8ff4601602ed9c80e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Senators, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,238,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,246,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,238,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,300 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Senators | 52c | 343,540$178,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178,397.6 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Senators | 52c | 250,000$130,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130,000 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Blues | 49c | 200,784$97,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,939.41 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Blues | 48c | 191,414$91,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,535.38 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Blues | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,999.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Senators | 51c | 77,220$39,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,663.98 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Blues | 50c | 61,635$30,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,117.48 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Blues | 48c | 52,000$24,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,146 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…5ee1backed Blues | 48c | 49,677$23,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,831.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Senators | 50c | 41,214$20,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,606.91 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Blues | 48c | 40,000$19,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,800 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Senators | 51c | 17,411$8,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,879.58 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Blues | 46c | 13,458$6,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,220.74 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Blues | 48c | 11,532$5,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,996.74 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Senators | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…2a37backed Senators | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc980…811dbacked Blues | 74c | 10,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Senators | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Senators | 50c | 8,512$4,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,255.95 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Senators | 51c | 8,176$4,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,170 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf34d…921dbacked Blues | 49c | 6,306$3,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,216.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cce…3d4fbacked Senators | 51c | 6,251$3,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,187.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Blues | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Blues | 48c | 5,149$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,677.47 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…7e47backed Senators | 52c | 5,000$2,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,577 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Blues | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Blues | 50c | 4,501$2,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,271.76 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Blues | 48c | 4,191$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180.83 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Blues | 49c | 4,149$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.82 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Blues | 49c | 4,070$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.79 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Senators | 51c | 3,899$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Senators | 52c | 3,862$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Senators | 51c | 3,354$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.54 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Blues | 49c | 3,333$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.83 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blues | 51c | 3,188$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.89 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Blues | 48c | 3,087$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.06 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Senators | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Senators | 53c | 2,700$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d5…e1e2backed Senators | 53c | 2,700$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…3eacbacked Blues | 48c | 2,700$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Blues | 48c | 2,449$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.48 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Blues | 49c | 2,315$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.17 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7209…b3c1backed Blues | 49c | 2,314$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Senators | 50c | 2,045$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.81 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blues | 47c | 2,016$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.34 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Senators | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Blues | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Blues | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.99 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Blues | 49c | 2,000$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.48 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Blues | 51c | 1,968$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.99 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Blues | 47c | 1,928$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.89 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…af50backed Blues | 49c | 1,800$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ff…7c91backed Senators | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Senators | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Blues | 51c | 1,512$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.41 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Blues | 48c | 1,500$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Blues | 48c | 1,500$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.92 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Blues | 48c | 1,341$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.85 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Blues | 47c | 1,228$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.84 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Senators | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Blues | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Senators | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Blues | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Senators | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Blues | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Blues | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Blues | 50c | 992$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Senators | 29c | 973.48$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.64 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Senators | 54c | 931.41$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Blues | 71c | 869.04$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.04 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Blues | 48c | 830$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.6 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Blues | 49c | 812.2$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.22 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd40c…5e8abacked Senators | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x135a…0808backed Senators | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…d21dbacked Senators | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…da45backed Senators | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0305…0fbdbacked Blues | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…254cbacked Blues | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a56…4502backed Blues | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c9…03fabacked Blues | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…e06abacked Senators | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x805c…3cbabacked Blues | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3147…4242backed Blues | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…4e1ebacked Blues | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed62…10a5backed Senators | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…0be2backed Senators | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd844…d315backed Senators | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdac…738ebacked Blues | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80c0…031cbacked Blues | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…23ebbacked Senators | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d47…1b30backed Senators | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a0…8ab9backed Senators | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde0b…a5dcbacked Blues | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…11c1backed Senators | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090c…339bbacked Blues | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0744…599cbacked Blues | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ce…e0d4backed Blues | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x914f…735dbacked Senators | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…ae51backed Blues | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb753…67abbacked Blues | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Bluesthis page
- Senators vs. Blues: O/U 5.5Over won
- Senators vs. Blues: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.