Middle East · resolved market
Israel strike on Yemen by September 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90823eac2a5e582530b176d769b5b25c3a19c8236d62af228cdf50c8a784e68e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $205,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc723…535fbacked No | 2c | 15,991$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 6c | 14,416$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.03 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3033backed No | 32c | 6,860$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.76 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f3…76fbbacked Yes | 64c | 6,546$4,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,378.83 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc0…843dbacked Yes | 49c | 6,414$3,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked No | 4c | 5,159$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.15 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 4c | 4,475$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.26 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 68c | 3,435$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.59 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 76c | 3,329$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.32 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…5aa0backed No | 17c | 3,113$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.63 | 219 | 26.5%58 W · 161 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 13c | 2,876$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.4 | 53 | 9.4%5 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked Yes | 58c | 2,790$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.78 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 35c | 2,426$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.74 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 28c | 2,156$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.25 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f3…c2c2backed No | 1c | 2,156$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 1c | 2,148$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd145…5f52backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 21c | 1,904$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.89 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 69c | 1,879$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.54 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 72c | 1,554$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.22 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed Yes | 79c | 1,542$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.58 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bcc9backed No | 21c | 1,500$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.79 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…549bbacked No | 34c | 1,490$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…b226backed No | 44c | 1,390$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 19c | 1,280$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.8 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda1…d9adbacked No | 29c | 1,273$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.8 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…79e6backed No | 8c | 1,273$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3be…1015backed No | 8c | 1,241$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 1,235$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 77c | 1,200$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…8280backed Yes | 62c | 1,101$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db8…5f0abacked No | 5c | 1,059$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed Yes | 80c | 1,045$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.95 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 31c | 1,010$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 36 | 0%0 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb23a…9a75backed No | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 76c | 999.99$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 23c | 975.78$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.62 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 52c | 974.98$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.99 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked No | 15c | 968.83$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.21 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 10c | 898.63$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed No | 24c | 826.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4c…dc84backed No | 5c | 813.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…5ff2backed No | 12c | 799.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e63…e021backed No | 15c | 794.56$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked No | 8c | 786$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…f9cbbacked Yes | 77c | 779.11$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…2f90backed No | 17c | 750$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…c263backed No | 52c | 740.38$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed No | 14c | 695.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 69c | 671.35$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.35 | 291 | 29.9%87 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 24c | 605.78$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.54 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…9d46backed No | 17c | 591.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaef0…491cbacked No | 20c | 555.7$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.73 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b23…9f75backed Yes | 65c | 538.19$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dc…3944backed Yes | 63c | 535.01$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.95 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe241…ba7abacked Yes | 67c | 529.99$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.89 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 17c | 516.66$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.88 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…7b80backed No | 13c | 513.75$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe058…d73ebacked No | 21c | 512.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 19c | 510.05$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7b…c32fbacked No | 21c | 502.18$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357f…aee2backed Yes | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed No | 6c | 500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…4821backed No | 19c | 467.47$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.14 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 52c | 458.37$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed No | 21c | 445.16$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.14 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…9754backed Yes | 62c | 440$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.9 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1be…5409backed No | 25c | 408$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed No | 33c | 404$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.56 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 74c | 385.95$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.36 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf379…ca0bbacked No | 23c | 379.77$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…8e58backed No | 49c | 374.83$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -45%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e15…6ce6backed Yes | 78c | 373.09$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.28 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…b06abacked No | 22c | 352.44$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a85…1811backed Yes | 60c | 329.99$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.29 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed No | 19c | 304$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…1747backed No | 17c | 301.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 19c | 301.18$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…4b58backed No | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed No | 17c | 299.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac4…c8ccbacked No | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…1318backed No | 52c | 290.04$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…c066backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce2…5f90backed No | 11c | 264.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 14c | 259.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…a210backed No | 19c | 254.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 14c | 251.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed No | 45c | 250$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed No | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 74c | 249.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb39…e932backed No | 20c | 248.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…d0d9backed Yes | 72c | 248.34$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…f279backed Yes | 73c | 239.52$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9213…1431backed No | 26c | 234.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 13c | 225$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed Yes | 80c | 218.09$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9e…70bcbacked No | 26c | 216.79$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x963a…fc4cbacked Yes | 63c | 213$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…e194backed No | 24c | 210.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 58c | 208.28$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.44 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.