TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rolex Paris Masters: Daniel Altmaier vs Casper Ruud

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Altmaierof Altmaier, Ruud
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$123,983
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,451

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,983 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe766…404dbacked Ruud3c7,622$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.667342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Altmaier63c7,514$4,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,768.0210845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Ruud39c7,325$2,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,825.3524841.5%103 W · 145 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Altmaier53c6,771$3,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,181.7616644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Altmaier51c5,638$2,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,776.112,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Altmaier29c5,292$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,766.4737540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Altmaier27c3,700$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,700.9917823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb26a…48dabacked Ruud40c3,540$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4011643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Ruud70c3,030$2,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,134.847147.9%34 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Altmaier29c3,000$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,13066949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4243…35d1backed Altmaier56c2,318$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.132924.1%7 W · 22 L-6.4wins-0.22per pick46cpaid-61.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x286c…caffbacked Ruud73c2,055$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001675%12 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bb4…acb6backed Ruud71c2,048$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.657356.2%41 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Altmaier27c1,732$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.536440.9%149 W · 215 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17c8…b9f7backed Ruud46c1,667$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.452040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Ruud50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.0959151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed32…20d6backed Ruud75c1,500$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1251258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked Ruud17c1,425$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.61450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad5b…4c00backed Ruud70c1,409$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.3425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-67.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e0a…f92dbacked Altmaier30c1,409$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.3475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+65.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Altmaier58c1,364$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.6411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Ruud73c1,336$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.611844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5bc7…cf36backed Ruud76c1,315$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x153b…275ebacked Ruud72c1,280$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+899%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Altmaier26c1,228$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.921,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd311…cc81backed Altmaier30c1,186$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.2475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+113.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Altmaier57c1,140$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.357152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3c8…6719backed Ruud70c1,086$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7c3…885fbacked Ruud71c1,056$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75030%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Ruud72c1,047$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.8387251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Ruud70c1,035$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.51353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x176e…d688backed Ruud70c1,000$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Altmaier50c1,000$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.331283.3%10 W · 2 L+4.8wins+0.40per pick43cpaid+97%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc46c…7ffcbacked Altmaier28c999.96$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.97560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+61.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f7b…a05abacked Ruud70c986$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6de9…da80backed Altmaier30c986$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Ruud73c926.03$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6769961.6%61 W · 38 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7750…a3f3backed Ruud18c911.2$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.2911215.2%17 W · 95 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Altmaier64c851.49$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.82,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e9a…5b99backed Altmaier63c820.48$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.67785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick68cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Ruud49c820.18$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002540%10 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Ruud39c819.62$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.6538348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Altmaier28c799.97$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.986046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Ruud55c753.15$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.28248.8%40 W · 42 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0bce…558cbacked Altmaier63c730.16$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.162552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8886…3913backed Altmaier28c715$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.83228.1%9 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Ruud72c707.81$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.625644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa71a…e4e2backed Ruud72c700$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Ruud74c675.68$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014663%92 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Ruud73c649$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.664751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Ruud56c623.9$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.2811060.9%67 W · 43 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x500e…5822backed Ruud10c515$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.39per pick47cpaid+87.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Ruud49c511$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.3981938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked Ruud49c504$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.9632050%160 W · 160 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e80…09b8backed Ruud3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa576…89a4backed Altmaier28c499.98$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.982441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefa5…d58bbacked Altmaier60c471.91$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.913253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Altmaier65c469.76$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.9575547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Ruud40c462.5$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1852759.3%16 W · 11 L+5.3wins+0.19per pick40cpaid+42.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Ruud70c444.04$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.9718241.8%76 W · 106 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5be…46cebacked Altmaier31c425$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.251915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-48.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2167…7a98backed Altmaier61c421.65$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.33450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Altmaier48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6722744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd891…7341backed Ruud56c409.87$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.7112161.2%74 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Ruud71c307$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.971136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba06…0004backed Ruud72c300$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21615151%77 W · 74 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40f1…893bbacked Ruud72c286.98$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.49714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-73%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x00f2…212ebacked Ruud71c281.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d37…59b5backed Ruud72c278.1$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009462.8%59 W · 35 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6c49…7c10backed Ruud71c276.95$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.871154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Ruud74c270.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20065651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Ruud40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Ruud40c249.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005362.3%33 W · 20 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Ruud41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043158.2%251 W · 180 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Altmaier34c220.59$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.921,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Altmaier28c210$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.26036.7%22 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd2…a1fdbacked Ruud73c203.63$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.65560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Altmaier28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14440141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60a…276bbacked Altmaier30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1403100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+175.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dde…1fddbacked Ruud41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Altmaier50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10015447.4%73 W · 81 L+14.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4365…83f6backed Ruud70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f1…a0b0backed Altmaier59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb74…1a99backed Altmaier39c200$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.259630.2%29 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e4…7319backed Ruud53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fa7…04bfbacked Ruud43c185.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.756949.3%34 W · 35 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Ruud72c180.26$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Altmaier63c160.46$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1210743%46 W · 61 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb28c…be33backed Ruud50c160$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.552661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c61…5213backed Altmaier32c155.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.91968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6da…b2cdbacked Ruud58c153.94$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x647d…3cd9backed Altmaier27c150$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.55358.5%31 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+24.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe9d…5eb1backed Ruud53c150$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.54955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Ruud72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Ruud72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10046556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Altmaier51c135.39$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1565242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d66…3c95backed Altmaier45c134.4$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.41050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+79.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Ruud71c130$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.342141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed Ruud73c125.68$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7510456.7%59 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Altmaier29c120.69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6988446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.