TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Swiss Indoors Basel: Reilly Opelka vs Botic van de Zandschulp

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Opelkaof Opelka, Zandschulp
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$302,506
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$313,633

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $302,506 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7606…2836backed Zandschulp32c182,176$58,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,297.567857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Opelka68c177,045$120,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,654.4710845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1abe…3fa8backed Opelka48c15,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,8001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb758…103ebacked Zandschulp52c15,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,80010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Opelka49c8,000$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,05066949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x620b…d4adbacked Zandschulp46c7,548$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5001936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Opelka50c6,040$3,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,031.8321147.9%101 W · 110 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Zandschulp38c5,736$2,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,181.0365242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Zandschulp40c4,075$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.2815832.3%51 W · 107 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Zandschulp30c3,957$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.5128952.6%152 W · 137 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed Zandschulp54c3,774$2,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,021.132147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9bc…80f7backed Opelka61c3,500$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3701838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacdf…0ec4backed Opelka49c3,441$1,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7458562.4%53 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Opelka63c2,673$1,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.332,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Opelka47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.8315048%72 W · 78 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Opelka50c1,547$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.721,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Opelka64c1,385$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.411,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9af…7807backed Zandschulp39c1,297$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-62.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Zandschulp45c1,253$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.888,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Opelka51c1,252$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.5711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Zandschulp31c1,201$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.6628443%122 W · 162 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b59…232fbacked Zandschulp60c827.82$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed Zandschulp45c726.2$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.54540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-35.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Opelka71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.232147.6%10 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick65cpaid-31.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked Zandschulp10c699.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7032050%160 W · 160 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Opelka45c648.11$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.4617823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed Opelka67c611$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.9311943.7%52 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Zandschulp32c600$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1928143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20eb…0bddbacked Opelka49c600$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3041546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Zandschulp45c592$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.977653.9%41 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Zandschulp55c550.4$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008243.9%36 W · 46 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb75d…9d01backed Opelka55c457.5$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.1412154.5%66 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x877e…b283backed Zandschulp55c447.31$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.021127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Opelka48c418.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.1938348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ea…7f9fbacked Zandschulp25c392.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c17…de2bbacked Opelka54c371.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.547957%45 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Zandschulp55c359.73$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.8511647.4%55 W · 61 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8740…95ccbacked Opelka54c339.87$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.34475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Opelka53c320.75$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.7543158.2%251 W · 180 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Zandschulp45c319.8$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.9375547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ea8…25f9backed Opelka52c311.78$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.22259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ee…efe0backed Opelka50c297.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.94163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Zandschulp51c256$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.5695140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x400f…e712backed Opelka74c253.88$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Opelka50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12518338.8%71 W · 112 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x553b…f71cbacked Zandschulp46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Opelka46c222.39$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9473147.9%350 W · 381 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Zandschulp40c220.93$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.081,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d37…59b5backed Opelka46c218.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.769462.8%59 W · 35 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x875c…d3e8backed Opelka46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3910250%51 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea4…f4acbacked Zandschulp30c213$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Zandschulp55c182.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006145.9%28 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…e7b3backed Zandschulp55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Opelka46c163.04$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.0464537.2%240 W · 405 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb47…8c93backed Opelka50c151.09$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Zandschulp53c149.98$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.498537.6%32 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Opelka67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.251,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3248…aad4backed Opelka69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.932343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Opelka70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8625352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24be…e742backed Opelka71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x810c…51cabacked Opelka74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.143865.8%25 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd843…a597backed Opelka72c131.71$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.88757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde2d…abbabacked Zandschulp20c126.41$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.11475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Opelka45c124.41$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.022,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Zandschulp52c114.55$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdce3…9d85backed Zandschulp32c113.62$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.365133.3%17 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Opelka71c110$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4143948.5%213 W · 226 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa259…9135backed Zandschulp54c102.71$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Opelka50c100.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.412,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Opelka48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5222840.4%92 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Opelka71c99.97$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.39955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddfd…6858backed Zandschulp30c96.97$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Zandschulp32c96.53$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.891656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8545…da3bbacked Zandschulp33c91.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Zandschulp33c89.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.544423.9%106 W · 338 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f23…b19ebacked Zandschulp57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Opelka57c83.8$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.081,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Zandschulp35c82.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5249749.9%248 W · 249 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb28c…be33backed Opelka54c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.22661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d54…9118backed Opelka46c76.26$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc31d…6acabacked Zandschulp56c74.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Opelka55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7325355.7%141 W · 112 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0778…1276backed Opelka68c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b5b…0cfcbacked Opelka74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.573100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5998…141cbacked Zandschulp30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203663.9%23 W · 13 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Opelka60c66.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2412560%75 W · 50 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Opelka46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.227150.7%36 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c63…a2f9backed Zandschulp35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b55…2eaebacked Opelka73c54.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.796675.8%50 W · 16 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6158…81bcbacked Opelka46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2714351%73 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef96…54dfbacked Opelka46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc2e…ae9abacked Opelka45c48.89$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+82.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed Opelka49c46.5$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.72966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+42.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2666…0d98backed Opelka52c42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.16666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x398e…f259backed Opelka48c41.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.68850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Zandschulp41c41.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.841723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.25per pick49cpaid-61.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x54f2…d0e3backed Zandschulp60c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5b…50c9backed Opelka40c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick35cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Opelka67c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.286470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Zandschulp30c39.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9949632.3%160 W · 336 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.