TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Corentin Moutet

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Moutetof Medvedev, Moutet
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$535,964
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$541,198

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $535,964 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7606…2836backed Medvedev67c260,000$174,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174,199.997857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Moutet34c238,567$80,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158,374.0410845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked Moutet32c53,789$17,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,398.342119%4 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-58.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Moutet43c52,812$22,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,102.7614345.5%65 W · 78 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Medvedev68c35,000$23,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,793.1839249.7%195 W · 197 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Medvedev58c28,072$16,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,218.418933.9%64 W · 125 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Moutet40c26,186$10,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,704.3665242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Moutet44c14,653$6,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,139.58,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Moutet40c14,237$5,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,598.8511,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Moutet41c14,130$5,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,285.7515832.3%51 W · 107 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Moutet43c13,986$6,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,959.392,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc933…5366backed Medvedev69c11,671$8,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,052.83911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick44cpaid-69.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked Moutet52c5,814$3,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,789.146747.8%32 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc06a…f31fbacked Medvedev69c5,767$3,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,979.310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Moutet31c5,634$1,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,887.461,21746.3%563 W · 654 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Medvedev58c5,147$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0006033.3%20 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Medvedev55c5,014$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7507037.1%26 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc478…d2e2backed Medvedev65c4,609$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Medvedev55c3,604$1,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,981.83070%21 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5adf…d32abacked Medvedev36c3,600$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2961172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Medvedev63c3,013$1,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,887.0710060%60 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb855…90b2backed Medvedev56c2,503$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.982365.2%15 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Medvedev63c2,444$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.5929152.6%153 W · 138 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Medvedev57c2,300$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.2852844.7%236 W · 292 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Medvedev49c2,127$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.0222737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Moutet31c2,077$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.91,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Medvedev69c2,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38013253.8%71 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5836…27bdbacked Moutet50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick20cpaid-85.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Moutet33c2,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3407653.9%41 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3fb…19c0backed Moutet31c2,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3801225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed Medvedev67c1,867$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.812147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Moutet32c1,804$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.892,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Moutet37c1,762$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.482,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…5696backed Moutet48c1,653$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.24580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+71%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Medvedev55c1,600$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.791,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Medvedev60c1,596$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.736549.2%32 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Medvedev70c1,547$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08359151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Moutet34c1,535$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.4215048%72 W · 78 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Moutet32c1,533$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.5113935.3%49 W · 90 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Moutet33c1,515$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.154831.3%15 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Medvedev64c1,432$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.219131.4%60 W · 131 L+0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Medvedev70c1,425$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.2149749.9%248 W · 249 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Moutet58c1,277$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.941,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9bc…80f7backed Moutet51c1,270$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.71838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Medvedev78c1,122$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.732147.6%10 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick65cpaid-31.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x69a7…ef6bbacked Medvedev43c1,120$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.1830%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Moutet42c999.18$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.9375547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94e5…6cfebacked Medvedev64c991$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.241070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Moutet31c968$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.9247639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Medvedev62c935.48$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58014549%71 W · 74 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d89…340cbacked Medvedev70c921.46$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.02666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Medvedev56c900$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5046241.9%26 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x644b…2145backed Medvedev39c841.52$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.117335.6%26 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Medvedev69c826.09$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5709961.6%61 W · 38 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa253…7630backed Moutet31c821.14$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.155632.1%18 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x151f…807dbacked Medvedev51c790.64$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.223740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c5b…50c9backed Medvedev46c777$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.42955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick35cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6327…e181backed Moutet65c749.22$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.23837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed Medvedev58c727.76$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.1633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-42.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Medvedev70c714.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009452.1%49 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b59…232fbacked Medvedev49c712.24$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3493852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea9…42a1backed Medvedev39c622.49$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+41.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc1…ae4cbacked Medvedev3c621.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Medvedev41c600$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24681938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Moutet32c599.94$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.969741.2%40 W · 57 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Medvedev67c557.96$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.8362742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9af…7807backed Moutet44c511.36$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.36616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-62.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09da…8230backed Moutet48c501.4$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20eb…0bddbacked Medvedev47c500$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.091546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Medvedev60c461.04$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.972957.3%418 W · 311 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Medvedev66c424.24$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28020257.4%116 W · 86 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14c9…c193backed Medvedev66c407.12$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked Medvedev48c401.79$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7932050%160 W · 160 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Medvedev45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18017741.8%74 W · 103 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Medvedev68c376.43$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.9786470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Moutet42c368.3$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.741,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Moutet32c355.32$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.627147.9%34 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Moutet33c351.52$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.527149.3%35 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d37…59b5backed Medvedev53c345.26$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.999462.8%59 W · 35 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Moutet33c340.65$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.2430739.1%120 W · 187 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcde8…1f7dbacked Medvedev67c330$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Moutet46c326.09$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.0922744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Medvedev63c321.19$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.2373147.9%350 W · 381 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd180…4276backed Medvedev54c314.47$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.54540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4349…ce60backed Medvedev77c300$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15ff…4c5ebacked Moutet44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x875c…d3e8backed Medvedev48c294.37$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010250%51 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42ed…d13dbacked Medvedev34c289.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-41.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0f…559abacked Medvedev69c289.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002941.4%12 W · 17 L-6.0wins-0.21per pick62cpaid-38.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2a11…db4bbacked Medvedev70c285.7$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.993354.5%18 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb75d…9d01backed Medvedev70c261.43$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18312154.5%66 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ee…efe0backed Medvedev52c260.62$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1354163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Moutet48c259.93$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.9334842.2%147 W · 201 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Medvedev39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006145.9%28 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4403…4252backed Moutet34c250$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1651241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4782…d21ebacked Medvedev40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x553b…f71cbacked Moutet43c250$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.51338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a8c…b52cbacked Moutet32c246.85$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.856737.3%25 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Medvedev59c241.68$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.78562.4%53 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cb6…15cdbacked Medvedev48c240.27$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.313452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.