Tennis · resolved market
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Jenson Brooksby vs Botic van de Zandschulp
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66e9168b236e8776626d2bb34ed88095e95db9502b60b128c5942d1dc53e70fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zandschulpof Brooksby, Zandschulp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9354…6502backed Zandschulp | 43c | 856.76$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.21 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Brooksby | 53c | 533$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.49 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Brooksby | 76c | 524.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Zandschulp | 41c | 383.67$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.37 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Zandschulp | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffaa…7fd4backed Brooksby | 67c | 299.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.39 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…05b4backed Brooksby | 71c | 237$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.44 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Zandschulp | 5c | 200$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 173 | 38.7%67 W · 106 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Zandschulp | 29c | 169.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.27 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa263…6cf0backed Brooksby | 65c | 155.17$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.86 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Brooksby | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Zandschulp | 15c | 130.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.73 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb28c…be33backed Zandschulp | 40c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c63…a2f9backed Brooksby | 17c | 119.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…9d85backed Zandschulp | 48c | 114.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.72 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Brooksby | 52c | 112.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…cbe5backed Zandschulp | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Zandschulp | 38c | 52.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Brooksby | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Brooksby | 62c | 49.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Brooksby | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Zandschulp | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98c2…9a98backed Brooksby | 47c | 37.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Brooksby | 62c | 32.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Zandschulp | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 497 | 49.9%248 W · 249 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.