Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Yale Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70029cecfd14d1a5485953affbda6ab8e2b182fbd76b2e267d0902560f4f650c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yale Bulldogsof Dartmouth Big Green, Yale Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3735…3d9dbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 15c | 3,129$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.38 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Dartmouth Big Green | 15c | 3,080$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.82 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Dartmouth Big Green | 19c | 2,694$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 140 | 27.1%38 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Dartmouth Big Green | 10c | 1,875$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.14 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Dartmouth Big Green | 14c | 1,734$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 7c | 1,300$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…6446backed Dartmouth Big Green | 15c | 1,129$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6603…959ebacked Dartmouth Big Green | 13c | 331.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x621f…b9dfbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 9c | 323.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Dartmouth Big Green | 14c | 253.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Dartmouth Big Green | 8c | 247.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 8c | 244.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Dartmouth Big Green | 13c | 234$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66b…a324backed Dartmouth Big Green | 9c | 222.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9456…44b1backed Dartmouth Big Green | 15c | 214.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Dartmouth Big Green | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Dartmouth Big Green | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 7%8 W · 107 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yale Bulldogs | 80c | 183.95$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Dartmouth Big Green | 12c | 182$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Dartmouth Big Green | 16c | 160.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Dartmouth Big Green | 9c | 155$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 12c | 147.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b55…9e46backed Dartmouth Big Green | 9c | 139.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x916a…ace1backed Dartmouth Big Green | 15c | 135.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +141.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c68…f2a8backed Dartmouth Big Green | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Dartmouth Big Green | 8c | 123.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe667…898fbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 15c | 120.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Dartmouth Big Green | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Dartmouth Big Green | 12c | 107.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Dartmouth Big Green | 13c | 100.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Dartmouth Big Green | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yale Bulldogs | 80c | 93.72$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb0…d1bbbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 16c | 72.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…6f4bbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Yale Bulldogs | 77c | 19.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dartmouth Big Green vs. Yale Bulldogsthis page
- Dartmouth Big Green vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 154.5Under won
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-15.5)Dartmouth Big Green won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.