Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde4e73ff344c7b61f7420ec6a37ca29d7298a06d0c30af8b64a9636946b8eebb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dartmouth Big Greenof Yale Bulldogs, Dartmouth Big Green
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 50c | 6,333$3,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,151.4 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Yale Bulldogs | 48c | 4,146$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Yale Bulldogs | 52c | 3,836$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Dartmouth Big Green | 47c | 1,007$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.42 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Yale Bulldogs | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yale Bulldogs | 40c | 778.49$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.15 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 52c | 460$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.8 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Dartmouth Big Green | 53c | 441.92$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.12 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Dartmouth Big Green | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Dartmouth Big Green | 51c | 156.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.93 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d89…e466backed Yale Bulldogs | 48c | 140$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yale Bulldogs | 48c | 122.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Dartmouth Big Green | 59c | 87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Yale Bulldogs | 41c | 87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Yale Bulldogs | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yale Bulldogs | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Dartmouth Big Green | 48c | 53.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Yale Bulldogs | 52c | 40.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Dartmouth Big Green | 52c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Yale Bulldogs | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Dartmouth Big Green | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1853…68ffbacked Yale Bulldogs | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-15.5)this page
- Dartmouth Big Green vs. Yale BulldogsYale Bulldogs won
- Dartmouth Big Green vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 154.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.