Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 154.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8720fe03f2e1be003c0b155348e5d9996cc2c71cedabebbb98db993ae7af812
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 51c | 49,329$25,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,179.11 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 49c | 16,000$7,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,160 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 49c | 9,469$4,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,829.39 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Under | 49c | 6,767$3,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,451.17 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 49c | 3,058$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.4 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 3,052$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.61 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 48c | 937.5$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.5 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 49c | 270.08$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.74 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 49c | 240$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Under | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 123.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.33 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Under | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9021…bf4ebacked Under | 49c | 72.61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Under | 49c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dartmouth Big Green vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 154.5this page
- Dartmouth Big Green vs. Yale BulldogsYale Bulldogs won
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-15.5)Dartmouth Big Green won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.