Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Providence Friars vs. Villanova Wildcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a78207363a0802b73d571f81d6f9b2e4415ea65440148d71e37fbc767c9cbb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Villanova Wildcatsof Providence Friars, Villanova Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Providence Friars | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Villanova Wildcats | 80c | 6,138$4,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.37 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Providence Friars | 21c | 2,143$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Villanova Wildcats | 79c | 1,265$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.65 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Villanova Wildcats | 79c | 1,049$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.37 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Providence Friars | 2c | 1,046$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Providence Friars | 20c | 1,044$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.1 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Providence Friars | 9c | 895.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.05 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Providence Friars | 20c | 681.91$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.38 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Villanova Wildcats | 80c | 542.64$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.53 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Providence Friars | 6c | 502.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Villanova Wildcats | 80c | 496$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Providence Friars | 19c | 326.04$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Villanova Wildcats | 80c | 307$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Providence Friars | 22c | 270$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Villanova Wildcats | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Providence Friars | 21c | 218.53$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Villanova Wildcats | 80c | 187.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Providence Friars | 24c | 183.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca0f…780bbacked Villanova Wildcats | 80c | 151.25$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Providence Friars | 23c | 140$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Providence Friars | 20c | 132.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…b188backed Villanova Wildcats | 80c | 125.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Providence Friars | 9c | 117.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Providence Friars | 21c | 112.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Providence Friars | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Providence Friars | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Providence Friars | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Providence Friars | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Providence Friars | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked Providence Friars | 13c | 87.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ed…de73backed Providence Friars | 19c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f8…8908backed Villanova Wildcats | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Villanova Wildcats | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c68…f2a8backed Providence Friars | 21c | 61.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x862d…2632backed Providence Friars | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Providence Friars | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…41b7backed Providence Friars | 21c | 49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Villanova Wildcats | 80c | 32.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Villanova Wildcats | 74c | 28.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Villanova Wildcats | 80c | 25.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…643ebacked Villanova Wildcats | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 74cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…036abacked Villanova Wildcats | 80c | 18.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Villanova Wildcats | 76c | 16.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9917…569cbacked Villanova Wildcats | 80c | 16.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.27 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 62cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Providence Friars vs. Villanova Wildcatsthis page
- Providence Friars vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 156.5Over won
- Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-9.5)Villanova Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.