Earnings · resolved market
Will Wix.com (WIX) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88390c7c6f012f91bb9a14708ef37b6e740817953447f0398dbb14fcf2eea370
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 13c | 785.39$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.84 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed No | 10c | 650.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c68…f2a8backed No | 21c | 506.62$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…3170backed No | 36c | 411.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 29c | 379.03$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 62c | 278.83$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.21 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…aa5cbacked Yes | 60c | 178.92$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.01 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8167…c580backed Yes | 72c | 177$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 16c | 161.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…7c81backed No | 28c | 138$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3074…bae5backed No | 15c | 137.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x513e…b09cbacked No | 18c | 136$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 18cpaid | -83%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1e…8213backed No | 22c | 130.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…7690backed No | 39c | 127.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…754cbacked Yes | 80c | 125.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 18c | 123.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed No | 16c | 109.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 303 | 15.2%46 W · 257 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370b…5f2cbacked No | 37c | 108.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 36cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6b…0ad4backed No | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59a7…3b81backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 16c | 99.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 85 | 16.5%14 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 16c | 98.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f8…0e43backed No | 26c | 96.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes | 79c | 94.65$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe445…9ec9backed Yes | 80c | 86.25$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…8fb9backed No | 16c | 80.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed No | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 31c | 73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…5d91backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…f692backed No | 28c | 69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…cca3backed Yes | 31c | 65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 28cpaid | +141.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e51…c2a3backed No | 29c | 65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 16c | 64.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -62%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x316d…ef66backed Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed No | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea3a…f78ebacked Yes | 80c | 58.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…c904backed Yes | 79c | 52.74$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e65…8443backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1146…7ebdbacked Yes | 62c | 49.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 77c | 49.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607f…eb10backed Yes | 59c | 49.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked No | 26c | 48.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…9144backed No | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ed…7b21backed Yes | 79c | 32.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f19…bf1ebacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…7ca4backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 68c | 20.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xafd7…f634backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64cc…0da1backed Yes | 69c | 17.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…6fb5backed Yes | 80c | 17.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked Yes | 66c | 15.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…d901backed Yes | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.