Fifa International · resolved market
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x160dbfb768f10eedc79d21400546975778e2d0f1ae7f53777a1edabd5baecf81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $304,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $299,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b4d…1027backed No | 6c | 78,596$4,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,761.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 2c | 9,984$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.24 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 8c | 7,830$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.1 | 162 | 25.3%41 W · 121 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaa…fae4backed No | 0c | 5,946$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 4,915$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.18 | 202 | 1.5%3 W · 199 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed No | 10c | 4,185$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.7 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 0c | 3,984$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8b…1002backed No | 3c | 3,693$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked No | 5c | 3,543$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe48…2ac2backed No | 5c | 3,433$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.48 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 5c | 3,393$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.11 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 5c | 3,107$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.27 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…b29fbacked No | 4c | 3,010$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 2,904$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 4c | 2,817$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.71 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…dd4dbacked No | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be7…6c46backed No | 4c | 2,419$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c05…dd4dbacked No | 5c | 2,119$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 6c | 2,093$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.58 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 1c | 2,047$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea3…466bbacked No | 7c | 2,000$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -51%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…10a2backed No | 3c | 1,598$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 6c | 1,538$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.26 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…ea7abacked No | 7c | 1,488$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 9c | 1,414$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.93 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85c…ed6bbacked No | 1c | 1,333$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…f0eabacked No | 11c | 1,165$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c68…f2a8backed No | 16c | 1,095$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed No | 2c | 1,052$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 6c | 1,050$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 98 | 29.6%29 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed No | 1c | 1,050$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aef…6c9dbacked No | 12c | 1,004$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc507…5d1ebacked No | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc4…541dbacked No | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…676ebacked No | 3c | 945.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb147…beedbacked No | 11c | 906.51$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.72 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b62…b9fdbacked No | 12c | 819.09$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b9…e354backed No | 6c | 750$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d09…42b7backed No | 11c | 747$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 6c | 724.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 11c | 675.61$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.82 | 241 | 44.8%108 W · 133 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed No | 5c | 671.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 166 | 55.4%92 W · 74 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48c2…63febacked No | 8c | 624.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked No | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b88…cfbabacked No | 7c | 555.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a6f0backed No | 9c | 549$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1502…be53backed No | 11c | 534$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…3ea7backed No | 11c | 534$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e08…7e2ebacked No | 11c | 533$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 5c | 532.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed No | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90a…78e1backed No | 5c | 499.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…e2c4backed No | 11c | 475.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 11c | 446$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb212…0f8ebacked No | 10c | 376$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 8c | 375.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -83%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…c888backed No | 10c | 361$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77c…f2bebacked No | 3c | 356.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 8c | 355.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked No | 12c | 347.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 283 | 26.1%74 W · 209 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea2…7e4cbacked No | 11c | 341.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9f…91dbbacked No | 9c | 331.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -89.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 5c | 323.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035f…33ebbacked No | 3c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed No | 4c | 282.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 37 | 0%0 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb01…e156backed No | 5c | 265.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed No | 13c | 253.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x956a…37d8backed No | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 8c | 222$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf42…41d7backed No | 6c | 202.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…d3bebacked No | 10c | 199.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f55…4731backed No | 5c | 197.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0822…697fbacked No | 12c | 196.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f7…a092backed No | 6c | 182.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed No | 16c | 160.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…b226backed No | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x893d…ee40backed No | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5287…a7d2backed No | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 7c | 144.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8d…f2a5backed No | 10c | 135.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…c57fbacked No | 8c | 132.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c96…0b06backed No | 16c | 127.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…e0ecbacked No | 9c | 122.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed No | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…98babacked No | 15c | 117.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed No | 9c | 113.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5f…e1adbacked No | 12c | 106.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…092cbacked No | 10c | 101.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d9…15c8backed No | 14c | 98.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 68c | 50.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe0…bf14backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…8d43backed Yes | 76c | 30.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccd…1ec9backed Yes | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…c31ebacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7eb…a668backed Yes | 75c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.