Tennis · resolved market
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b75fc4e4b102ad2dfb3211afcda709472d53f426bbf0f5907d372793f80d79c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sasnovichof Hon, Sasnovich
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hon | 17c | 5,440$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.84 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Hon | 21c | 1,594$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.35 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…0372backed Hon | 6c | 1,576$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Sasnovich | 69c | 1,210$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.97 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Hon | 26c | 1,200$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.51 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Sasnovich | 77c | 974.3$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.17 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Hon | 16c | 901$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…9ff7backed Hon | 42c | 791.14$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…6c1ebacked Sasnovich | 70c | 714.81$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.81 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed Hon | 31c | 709.15$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.96 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16d…3e8dbacked Hon | 42c | 664.11$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Sasnovich | 80c | 599.6$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.45 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Hon | 43c | 539.53$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Hon | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Sasnovich | 64c | 395$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.79 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Hon | 5c | 391.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Hon | 26c | 365.32$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hon | 24c | 343.27$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.26 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Sasnovich | 60c | 335$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Hon | 26c | 310.6$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Sasnovich | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…d0f5backed Sasnovich | 65c | 217.53$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Hon | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sasnovich | 69c | 200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19f…ea87backed Hon | 11c | 199.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c6…db95backed Hon | 9c | 190.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Sasnovich | 77c | 185.29$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Sasnovich | 66c | 152.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Sasnovich | 67c | 146.27$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Sasnovich | 64c | 146$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Hon | 23c | 144$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…db07backed Hon | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…bb01backed Hon | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Hon | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Hon | 33c | 112.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Sasnovich | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f7…e73bbacked Hon | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Hon | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 328 | 37.5%123 W · 205 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hon | 19c | 79.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Hon | 20c | 76.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2e…78b1backed Sasnovich | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.36per pick | 53cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Sasnovich | 68c | 73.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 87 | 67.8%59 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66d…97acbacked Hon | 28c | 70.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd891…7341backed Sasnovich | 66c | 66.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed Sasnovich | 78c | 64.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc28…10a3backed Sasnovich | 71c | 56.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc90…f8edbacked Sasnovich | 69c | 55.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8734…861bbacked Hon | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea7…16c7backed Hon | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed0…1942backed Sasnovich | 79c | 54.87$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd246…5622backed Hon | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0e…2281backed Hon | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…8886backed Sasnovich | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c68…f2a8backed Hon | 31c | 42.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Hon | 34c | 37.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 333 | 26.4%88 W · 245 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sasnovich | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Sasnovich | 75c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Sasnovich | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sasnovich | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Sasnovich | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1a…a766backed Hon | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Sasnovich | 69c | 24.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…6093backed Sasnovich | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Sasnovich | 77c | 20.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…6fbdbacked Sasnovich | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…ba1abacked Sasnovich | 80c | 15.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichthis page
- Hon vs. Sasnovich: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.