La Liga · resolved market
Will Girona vs. Alaves end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1635be25a8c1eaf7e4d0f54f379c1a04e6d8bfa85944b12d74bb4788e9bae7db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc971…7bb2backed Yes | 1c | 10,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 30c | 7,500$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.99 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 5,576$4,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.64 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.9 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…7f65backed No | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff1…c616backed No | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 70c | 1,139$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.7 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc52c…6732backed Yes | 20c | 570$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 31c | 322.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 16c | 295$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 73c | 275.67$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 80c | 275$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9005…d988backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 16c | 220$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes | 25c | 208$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 27c | 187.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 80c | 159.9$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 80c | 141.13$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 20c | 115$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 69c | 106.29$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a96…e12fbacked Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 21c | 94.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 15c | 92.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c68…f2a8backed Yes | 23c | 87.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 77c | 85.23$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 26c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 71c | 74.15$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…6ef4backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bde9backed Yes | 26c | 58.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03df…fe72backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…1437backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 29c | 45.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 69c | 40.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11bf…80c9backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 20.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…8a20backed No | 70c | 16.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Girona vs. Alaves end in a draw?this page
- Will Alaves win on 2025-11-08?No won
- Will Girona win on 2025-11-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.