La Liga · resolved market
Will Alaves win on 2025-11-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0045b49312f21d8e21509e96df5423a784d8ead8d14f9e67e46af9905190582f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 3c | 19,619$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.69 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ef…5232backed Yes | 30c | 10,053$2,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,977 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 73c | 7,413$5,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.29 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 29c | 2,661$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.94 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 29c | 2,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 29c | 1,722$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.51 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…270cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,682$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 30c | 1,347$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.21 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 30c | 1,281$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.3 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 70c | 931.89$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.61 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes | 25c | 923.08$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.77 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 74c | 865.77$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 26c | 813.46$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.5 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…9920backed No | 71c | 737.32$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 8c | 530$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…2398backed Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 14c | 488.85$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 30c | 453$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.75 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 17c | 400$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.1 | 129 | 17.8%23 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed No | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 337.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17d5…6438backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 70c | 274.69$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.41 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0de3…43bbbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 9c | 233.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 8c | 225$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 26c | 219.23$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6def…0b75backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 28c | 199.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 7c | 186$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd136…9d35backed Yes | 31c | 171.03$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbebb…1465backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 24c | 120.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 75c | 119.5$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 30c | 103.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…f4ebbacked Yes | 15c | 98.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 16c | 98.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084d…7e47backed No | 72c | 97.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 72c | 97.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Yes | 30c | 91.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Yes | 29c | 85.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 31c | 80.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes | 14c | 78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65d3…d153backed Yes | 29c | 74.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 27c | 74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38ad…80f6backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…6ef4backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6be7…8d02backed Yes | 32c | 61.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.25per pick | 31cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…bd7fbacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd611…63fcbacked No | 71c | 55.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5263…52ccbacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…c68cbacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 31c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c2…57d4backed Yes | 31c | 43.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe117…0b8dbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2982…aa17backed No | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4e…8b51backed Yes | 32c | 31.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…8a20backed No | 70c | 16.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alaves win on 2025-11-08?this page
- Will Girona vs. Alaves end in a draw?No won
- Will Girona win on 2025-11-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.