Music · resolved market
Diddy sex tape released before November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2068b095ec9f0859b7d3be7cb04c28abd0886008f0984704ce91241ae5b07e4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86a2…be38backed Yes | 18c | 17,314$3,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,178.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…abd2backed Yes | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 6c | 3,502$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.02 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…6d8fbacked No | 60c | 2,864$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…954bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,552$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1f…9cdebacked Yes | 10c | 1,930$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…0601backed No | 77c | 1,807$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 17c | 1,805$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.43 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc103…1138backed Yes | 9c | 1,736$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa5…7e01backed No | 60c | 1,700$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd74e…045dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,518$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed Yes | 10c | 1,201$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…b297backed Yes | 1c | 1,167$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7653…42e7backed Yes | 10c | 1,006$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab64…d070backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d0…ea2cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…2a8dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed No | 79c | 931.98$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes | 3c | 928.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c89…9fa4backed Yes | 21c | 921.19$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4f…859cbacked Yes | 6c | 778.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…0c95backed No | 60c | 750$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…a0d7backed Yes | 10c | 674.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6b…29fdbacked No | 77c | 652.28$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Yes | 6c | 650.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…ebb0backed Yes | 16c | 632.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…0b7bbacked Yes | 15c | 550$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…7d13backed Yes | 20c | 511.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc174…6941backed Yes | 19c | 500$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked No | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed No | 73c | 493.15$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5196…a0cabacked Yes | 18c | 486.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5643…5390backed Yes | 21c | 478.6$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac7…afbebacked Yes | 14c | 457.49$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0b…016abacked Yes | 17c | 406.83$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed No | 80c | 401.99$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccde…f241backed Yes | 19c | 368.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5730…a3f3backed Yes | 29c | 342.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Yes | 6c | 330.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…02edbacked Yes | 23c | 300$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6445…4ec0backed No | 79c | 265.04$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…b223backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd6…4ec1backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 10c | 229.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ef…f907backed Yes | 19c | 206.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed No | 77c | 195.35$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…8cabbacked Yes | 21c | 188.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…8b04backed Yes | 12c | 178.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…8108backed Yes | 11c | 174.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b0…fc0bbacked Yes | 24c | 163.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 70c | 162.54$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3e…21a8backed Yes | 8c | 160$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +149.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…9765backed Yes | 10c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 80c | 149.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 38cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9e…3723backed Yes | 28c | 147.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…863dbacked Yes | 10c | 146.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…9cf4backed Yes | 8c | 137.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f32…d3fbbacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ae…f3babacked No | 75c | 127.43$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…30babacked No | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…ea03backed No | 79c | 118.05$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd826…d6c0backed Yes | 11c | 114.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x153b…68ddbacked No | 56c | 111.77$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…75c2backed Yes | 19c | 110.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…bcb7backed Yes | 38c | 105.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55de…2850backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 13c | 104.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2b…69a5backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e54…d888backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc221…92a8backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…5733backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f95…cd47backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…d900backed Yes | 17c | 98.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4297…8a8bbacked Yes | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca5…fb42backed No | 60c | 83.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…5ce5backed Yes | 16c | 78.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…604fbacked Yes | 14c | 75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab3…fad8backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…42c1backed No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b1…a403backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63d5…ee0bbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696f…5ef7backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3629…f28cbacked Yes | 26c | 57.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…076bbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x560f…0a0cbacked Yes | 27c | 55.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…c1a8backed No | 62c | 50.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 41cpaid | +242.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5b…6759backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…eef4backed No | 71c | 49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52d…267fbacked No | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…bbfdbacked Yes | 29c | 44.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3f…2053backed No | 78c | 37.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7576…f961backed No | 73c | 37.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb34a…e49cbacked No | 76c | 32.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x318a…2f3dbacked No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fc…da6abacked No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057e…f88ebacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.