Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump create External Revenue Service in first 100 days?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe325569dbd2b5f67aebf9cf5529684b4493c8d53fb05c7815cb7356481fc7f1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea3e…b956backed No | 38c | 3,717$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,317.84 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e4…b676backed No | 43c | 3,665$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.2 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…2e07backed Yes | 65c | 3,104$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.74 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 72c | 3,064$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.71 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…658cbacked Yes | 28c | 2,179$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed No | 42c | 1,735$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.25 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…54d6backed Yes | 44c | 1,698$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.06 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…23cdbacked Yes | 59c | 1,687$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 22c | 1,527$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.97 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 80c | 1,348$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.56 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 72c | 1,191$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.53 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x020b…d13cbacked No | 73c | 1,076$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.79 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 58c | 1,052$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.87 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed No | 48c | 1,011$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.83 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked No | 28c | 1,000$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.54 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed Yes | 45c | 798.56$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.95 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 15c | 544.21$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.86 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed No | 12c | 540.13$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.31 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18f…294cbacked Yes | 38c | 531$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.49 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…3e65backed Yes | 49c | 512.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.95 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74b5…e2ffbacked No | 61c | 454.33$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.54 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 53c | 450$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.75 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 44c | 430.67$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.63 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38d…6c36backed No | 22c | 409.09$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.09 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 38c | 401.44$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.12 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b2…447ebacked No | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed No | 39c | 386.56$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.62 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef43…7b62backed Yes | 19c | 383$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.77 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…dcd8backed Yes | 21c | 366.29$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 45c | 354.7$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.33 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 10c | 346.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2d…dde5backed No | 53c | 340$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ac…a261backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32c1…e1e3backed No | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Yes | 16c | 250$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 74c | 243.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…1076backed No | 38c | 236.84$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.84 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad4f…12a3backed Yes | 27c | 225.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 43c | 225.48$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.31 | 235 | 43.8%103 W · 132 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…aa35backed Yes | 25c | 215$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db5…3167backed Yes | 50c | 206.06$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9c…e90cbacked No | 61c | 203.26$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…7930backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 60c | 199.61$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.77 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 28c | 189.17$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd295…a832backed Yes | 36c | 180$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed No | 56c | 179.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 159 | 24.5%39 W · 120 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…795fbacked No | 60c | 170.95$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…5ab4backed Yes | 62c | 167.42$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.21 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…7ad1backed Yes | 61c | 165.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7313…cbbcbacked Yes | 47c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdf…c324backed Yes | 69c | 144.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6b…3617backed Yes | 64c | 134.33$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 8c | 128.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dde…94c3backed No | 48c | 123.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.63 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231c…935ebacked Yes | 61c | 114.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecea…de43backed Yes | 43c | 112.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507d…728dbacked No | 36c | 112.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 56c | 111.44$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.08 | 286 | 36.7%105 W · 181 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 40c | 110$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed No | 61c | 109.49$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa740…e0e6backed Yes | 36c | 106.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 252 | 41.7%105 W · 147 L | -17.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked No | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…272dbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.45 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5e…af8dbacked Yes | 31c | 99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 17c | 96.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.31 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed Yes | 63c | 96.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.43 | 83 | 77.1%64 W · 19 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 46c | 85.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Yes | 68c | 83$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…4816backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked No | 20c | 81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.56 | 189 | 14.3%27 W · 162 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…5ca2backed Yes | 59c | 74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…d04ebacked Yes | 68c | 74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…b248backed Yes | 56c | 73.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…1ee7backed Yes | 72c | 71.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -6.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 48c | 71.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3030…16bbbacked Yes | 14c | 70$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked No | 28c | 69.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked No | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…01cdbacked Yes | 68c | 57.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 44c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…512abacked Yes | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…45a9backed Yes | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 37c | 50.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed No | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x169b…30c9backed No | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Yes | 78c | 49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 69cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53e6…becabacked Yes | 69c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed No | 44c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…f176backed No | 24c | 44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +187.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed No | 61c | 41.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d3…b187backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc6…4ddebacked Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked No | 64c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 43 | 86%37 W · 6 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…bad1backed No | 66c | 38.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0921…8634backed Yes | 56c | 35.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.