AI · resolved market
Will Apple invest in OpenAI in 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeace7bf800dbb526778ad92488a71c9a73a33481de8629f1cfb792b8888132e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 48c | 8,111$3,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,206.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 31c | 6,811$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,714.74 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 67c | 5,155$3,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,432.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 62c | 4,449$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.72 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…154bbacked Yes | 4c | 3,375$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.23 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 10c | 3,327$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.58 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed No | 26c | 2,243$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.68 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…30babacked No | 34c | 2,131$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.55 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777e…2836backed Yes | 66c | 1,704$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…2290backed Yes | 7c | 1,668$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 27c | 1,246$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.48 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked Yes | 62c | 1,232$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.98 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6e…807cbacked Yes | 57c | 1,036$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 1,014$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d92…da5bbacked No | 48c | 913.53$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb011…2d13backed Yes | 75c | 905.7$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Yes | 69c | 850$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 70c | 763.48$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked Yes | 68c | 761.46$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6b…f255backed Yes | 17c | 736.69$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…83debacked Yes | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…0d5ebacked No | 38c | 581.45$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2420…ce7fbacked No | 61c | 572.66$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 4c | 546.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c6…3654backed Yes | 3c | 529.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 36c | 508.23$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.93 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc462…5e7abacked Yes | 4c | 440.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…bf57backed No | 48c | 420$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d6…978ebacked Yes | 5c | 414.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…d81fbacked No | 47c | 409.86$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.23 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8679…333bbacked Yes | 61c | 404.8$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de5…9c80backed No | 32c | 403.84$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +213.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 33c | 401.47$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.85 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d2…4f4bbacked Yes | 4c | 353.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…8ee7backed Yes | 63c | 352$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed Yes | 57c | 346.84$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…c76abacked No | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 36c | 333$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.23 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6147…d34ebacked No | 39c | 329.01$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…4ab8backed Yes | 72c | 305.56$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -7.2wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed Yes | 12c | 291$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…a363backed Yes | 6c | 282.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…05b5backed Yes | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3af0…2f0bbacked No | 39c | 256.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 29c | 250.55$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.89 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 65c | 250$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b56…192bbacked Yes | 6c | 249.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…8750backed Yes | 8c | 247.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6045…bec8backed Yes | 6c | 245.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 44c | 240.74$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.96 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…a81cbacked No | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +197.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Yes | 65c | 206.56$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…8fe7backed No | 26c | 197.64$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +278.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c1…b7d6backed Yes | 8c | 193.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 26c | 163.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +6.5wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e09…da86backed No | 31c | 161$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 75c | 160$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.2 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42aa…3cf1backed Yes | 71c | 155.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0615…5c47backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930c…f632backed Yes | 71c | 150$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked No | 29c | 150$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…5ce5backed No | 45c | 147.59$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc5…61fdbacked No | 35c | 141.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +182.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41df…21e9backed No | 36c | 138.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +176.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 66c | 132.22$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 65c | 126.15$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c89…9fa4backed Yes | 8c | 125.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7efd…c159backed No | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a28…3ca9backed No | 39c | 111.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +155%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 55c | 110$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…6f77backed Yes | 76c | 102$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…8d22backed No | 50c | 100.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…711bbacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…db6ebacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…5535backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed No | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5574…6424backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…92aebacked No | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +114%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Yes | 16c | 99.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…b664backed No | 32c | 96.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf079…2ba6backed No | 38c | 95.57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +160%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…1e98backed Yes | 72c | 94.55$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…68d9backed No | 39c | 89.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.29 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bd…357dbacked No | 37c | 84.04$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +173.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 41c | 82.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…08fabacked No | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3a…d6fdbacked No | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x534f…616abacked Yes | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b78…a88abacked No | 45c | 77.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9570…83a2backed No | 36c | 75.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +176%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 62c | 75.43$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd0…09d3backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…5039backed No | 28c | 69.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5521…5d75backed No | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe855…c2d6backed No | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 65c | 65.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f0…1bb1backed No | 80c | 62.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b1…c05cbacked No | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…e881backed No | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.