Tennis · resolved market
Will Novak Djokovic win the US Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x015cd7131994d936579b5b825efe69cab98e820c1fa884206d04876db8c473ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 26c | 7,387$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.47 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x741e…2f80backed Yes | 31c | 6,058$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 26c | 5,863$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.67 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 70c | 5,088$3,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.94 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Yes | 28c | 4,945$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.6 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed No | 74c | 3,957$2,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.59 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…33babacked No | 74c | 3,407$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.98 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked No | 73c | 3,392$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Yes | 30c | 3,364$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Yes | 28c | 3,102$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.49 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b9…f392backed Yes | 32c | 2,656$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 5c | 2,500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed No | 69c | 2,222$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.82 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.29per pick | 36cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 17c | 2,117$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.34 | 103 | 18.4%19 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 70c | 1,944$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.66 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 27c | 1,850$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed No | 71c | 1,389$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.85 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 28c | 1,316$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.8 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…97a0backed Yes | 26c | 1,250$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 19c | 1,186$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.04 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc578…fab0backed Yes | 24c | 1,152$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.2 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 36c | 1,139$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 607 | 53.7%326 W · 281 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 26c | 1,045$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.65 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed No | 72c | 999.95$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…5ce5backed Yes | 17c | 973.95$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3176…b725backed No | 75c | 950$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 29c | 825$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.75 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…99a4backed No | 70c | 799.47$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6a…0199backed No | 65c | 779.78$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes | 28c | 763.89$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.46 | 1,206 | 49%591 W · 615 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c5…70d9backed No | 74c | 724.64$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Yes | 31c | 700$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d2…90abbacked Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ef…f8dfbacked Yes | 31c | 644.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…bb41backed Yes | 32c | 642.68$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 32c | 637$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.95 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed No | 68c | 599.96$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.99 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f35…70eebacked Yes | 27c | 590.33$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481c…73eebacked No | 72c | 542.33$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +229.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…7bd8backed Yes | 25c | 524.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.25 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 29c | 523.81$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed No | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74a…d1c7backed Yes | 37c | 469.05$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…4feabacked Yes | 33c | 462.16$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Yes | 28c | 392.86$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1d…2d6fbacked Yes | 27c | 370.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…65d2backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked No | 71c | 351.74$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.94 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab8…ae32backed Yes | 30c | 335.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc926…50c1backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…fc4cbacked Yes | 29c | 300$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab0…42c2backed No | 69c | 299.95$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf087…40f5backed No | 70c | 296.75$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 76cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…c86cbacked Yes | 29c | 296.73$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f15…a1b6backed No | 74c | 294.8$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…ba80backed Yes | 30c | 290$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x603b…caf0backed No | 70c | 290$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d05…7f63backed Yes | 29c | 279.43$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…1206backed Yes | 39c | 278.69$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…a50bbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…28a0backed Yes | 36c | 275.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ee…3d11backed Yes | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Yes | 33c | 255.44$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.51 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…d35ebacked Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Yes | 41c | 243.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Yes | 26c | 239.19$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 69c | 219.04$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…007dbacked No | 73c | 217.96$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…9c6abacked Yes | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…c675backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…b987backed Yes | 12c | 189$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdff…8bd9backed Yes | 28c | 175$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 71c | 165.79$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…8ecbbacked Yes | 29c | 165.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee95…02ddbacked Yes | 37c | 160$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 72c | 150.78$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…9adabacked Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf038…1391backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…e5fbbacked No | 72c | 130.48$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 37cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49ef…2dc0backed Yes | 33c | 120.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Yes | 29c | 119.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 35c | 109.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3573…b6f9backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…1e98backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa03b…c3f1backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad45…6fffbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eed…7304backed Yes | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 25c | 99.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked No | 72c | 97.07$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb7…2b81backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…d47cbacked No | 63c | 89.91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb500…6db0backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…853fbacked No | 75c | 73.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…5567backed Yes | 26c | 73.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…431fbacked Yes | 28c | 72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Novak Djokovic win the US Open?this page
- Will Alexander Zverev win the US Open?No won
- Will Andrey Rublev win the US Open?No won
- Will Ben Shelton win the US Open?No won
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the US Open?No won
- Will Frances Tiafoe win the US Open?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner win the US Open?Yes won
- Will Matteo Berrettini win the US Open?No won
- Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the US Open?No won
- Will Taylor Fritz win the US Open?No won
- Will Tommy Paul win the US Open?No won
- Will another player win the US Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.