Tennis · resolved market
Will Alexander Zverev win the US Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed4914ff980f85eb6a166e77101c0f2af28ce90a94f9c3ca5241f7ee72991a87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 16c | 5,600$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741e…2f80backed Yes | 20c | 5,366$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 20c | 4,993$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…7407backed Yes | 10c | 4,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 11c | 2,246$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.32 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 17c | 2,100$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.75 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Yes | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Yes | 10c | 1,720$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…bb41backed Yes | 18c | 1,711$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.46 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…7bd8backed Yes | 10c | 1,568$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Yes | 12c | 1,417$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Yes | 11c | 1,208$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.26 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,158$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 19c | 1,136$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.21 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 9c | 1,032$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.81 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe14…a1aebacked Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Yes | 11c | 911.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 12c | 894.31$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 18c | 642.09$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.58 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf296…9839backed Yes | 21c | 620$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 10c | 610$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…935dbacked Yes | 18c | 532.56$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.09 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f15…a1b6backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…fab3backed Yes | 11c | 475.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc578…fab0backed Yes | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 22c | 337$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.22 | 103 | 18.4%19 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Yes | 20c | 288$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…ed5abacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 9c | 220$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4c…ff37backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d44…d9adbacked Yes | 23c | 215$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…d19cbacked Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…473bbacked Yes | 19c | 158.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc61…fc7bbacked Yes | 19c | 158.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a4…4e32backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2e…581abacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…a659backed Yes | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad45…6fffbacked Yes | 15c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6248…51cfbacked Yes | 12c | 140$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Yes | 9c | 127.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…431fbacked Yes | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0114…b7c3backed Yes | 11c | 110$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…7a25backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f69…f07ebacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x509f…8fb7backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…08fabacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…1116backed Yes | 13c | 82.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alexander Zverev win the US Open?this page
- Will Andrey Rublev win the US Open?No won
- Will Ben Shelton win the US Open?No won
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the US Open?No won
- Will Frances Tiafoe win the US Open?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner win the US Open?Yes won
- Will Matteo Berrettini win the US Open?No won
- Will Novak Djokovic win the US Open?No won
- Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the US Open?No won
- Will Taylor Fritz win the US Open?No won
- Will Tommy Paul win the US Open?No won
- Will another player win the US Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.