Tennis · resolved market
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbabb810c58fc73b14d4cfe568d2d7ff4e8cd57c5ca2599e4f4c4708f45bef0ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Yes | 32c | 3,382$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde32…7b53backed Yes | 31c | 2,870$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes | 29c | 2,198$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.51 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 30c | 2,102$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.6 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Yes | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 28c | 1,572$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.1 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.29per pick | 36cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 32c | 1,000$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.37 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4813…ae12backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Yes | 29c | 725$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.25 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 71c | 700$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d2…90abbacked Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20fd…91c7backed Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7012…14a4backed Yes | 31c | 583.87$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Yes | 30c | 539.61$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 70c | 509$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…007dbacked No | 71c | 500.19$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ace…e0ebbacked Yes | 29c | 478.52$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe896…0b70backed Yes | 24c | 401.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…9220backed Yes | 28c | 401.33$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…d47cbacked Yes | 29c | 375.46$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.14 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 28c | 360$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…bb41backed Yes | 33c | 347.06$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0060…eb25backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…c86cbacked Yes | 32c | 344$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.08 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…65d2backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee95…02ddbacked Yes | 30c | 333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb805…9e99backed Yes | 32c | 313.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…99a4backed No | 69c | 313.72$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…9e02backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fe…c728backed Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…8ecdbacked Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…fc4cbacked Yes | 29c | 299.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7746…e0b8backed No | 70c | 299.97$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d92…3852backed Yes | 29c | 298.83$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -65%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab8…ae32backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…314bbacked Yes | 30c | 293.87$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0232…9391backed Yes | 32c | 249.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed Yes | 28c | 229.47$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 69c | 209.66$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 72c | 201.5$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…c675backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5977…2136backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 21c | 199.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x688e…a8f1backed Yes | 26c | 180$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…63abbacked No | 74c | 175.67$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…d35ebacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1180…8e39backed Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8024…ba91backed Yes | 29c | 150$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 30c | 146.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed No | 70c | 133$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ee…3d11backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 60c | 105$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…1e98backed Yes | 26c | 104.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda46…4546backed No | 74c | 104.05$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 67c | 102.62$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…1116backed No | 71c | 101.09$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3573…b6f9backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad45…6fffbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000a…6df9backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eed…7304backed Yes | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…4d83backed No | 78c | 99.92$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked No | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42ca…b2b7backed Yes | 30c | 77.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb500…6db0backed Yes | 33c | 76.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…9516backed Yes | 31c | 74.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc5…7737backed Yes | 30c | 72.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Yes | 32c | 68.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ef…2dc0backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…431fbacked Yes | 32c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeec…a303backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f95…8c17backed Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccb…175ebacked Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbe…0d3abacked Yes | 29c | 55.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…af0dbacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2b…4a85backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…588dbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c61…021cbacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ee…92d8backed Yes | 32c | 43.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…14b1backed Yes | 30c | 43.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253c…aa25backed Yes | 32c | 40.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…946cbacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76cd…e2c6backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb7…2b81backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa58…030bbacked Yes | 30c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…32e4backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f0…0446backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x968e…3303backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…665abacked No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open?this page
- Will Alexander Zverev win the US Open?No won
- Will Andrey Rublev win the US Open?No won
- Will Ben Shelton win the US Open?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the US Open?No won
- Will Frances Tiafoe win the US Open?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner win the US Open?Yes won
- Will Matteo Berrettini win the US Open?No won
- Will Novak Djokovic win the US Open?No won
- Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the US Open?No won
- Will Taylor Fritz win the US Open?No won
- Will Tommy Paul win the US Open?No won
- Will another player win the US Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.