Tennis · resolved market
Will another player win the US Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2bffd02acdc109639b40a77eb7a06e021255d8b63eded93262bf625775f35e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd31c…b93fbacked Yes | 10c | 5,150$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -60%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 7c | 4,457$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.23 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf296…9839backed Yes | 11c | 3,097$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 5c | 2,510$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.76 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…65d2backed Yes | 7c | 2,257$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…97a0backed Yes | 4c | 2,129$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Yes | 9c | 1,904$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.27 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…9e02backed Yes | 13c | 1,600$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ca…9d85backed Yes | 17c | 1,480$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 3c | 1,398$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 3c | 1,264$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a29…8864backed Yes | 16c | 999.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a0…f955backed Yes | 4c | 843.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ef…a38cbacked Yes | 5c | 834.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc578…fab0backed Yes | 8c | 660.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 14c | 656.39$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.62 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Yes | 5c | 565.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Yes | 6c | 417.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 14c | 353.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 103 | 18.4%19 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 24c | 350.08$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.37 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 7c | 322.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8024…ba91backed Yes | 5c | 250$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6704…baa4backed Yes | 9c | 217.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a9…5d72backed Yes | 8c | 160$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ce…c3abbacked Yes | 18c | 151.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0f…8d00backed Yes | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad45…6fffbacked Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe266…add3backed Yes | 9c | 126.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1978…fd9fbacked Yes | 20c | 100.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04da…ed1fbacked Yes | 18c | 85.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bba…9b86backed No | 80c | 65.89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe585…ad8dbacked Yes | 20c | 50.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will another player win the US Open?this page
- Will Alexander Zverev win the US Open?No won
- Will Andrey Rublev win the US Open?No won
- Will Ben Shelton win the US Open?No won
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the US Open?No won
- Will Frances Tiafoe win the US Open?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner win the US Open?Yes won
- Will Matteo Berrettini win the US Open?No won
- Will Novak Djokovic win the US Open?No won
- Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the US Open?No won
- Will Taylor Fritz win the US Open?No won
- Will Tommy Paul win the US Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.