Tennis · resolved market
Will Jannik Sinner win the US Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1d986d7d0f3ad06f5d67750be77c3c576ae9744dcbd8abd6dfc676867d78517
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $351,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $408,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $351,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b9e…74aebacked Yes | 22c | 35,053$7,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,318.22 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x741e…2f80backed Yes | 41c | 26,569$11,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,555.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked No | 3c | 21,839$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.75 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc78c…ff0abacked Yes | 76c | 15,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 61c | 11,697$7,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,184 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Yes | 47c | 8,770$4,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,671.99 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 37c | 8,048$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010.35 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 59c | 8,000$4,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,720 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Yes | 40c | 6,987$2,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,206.3 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb1…3a07backed Yes | 31c | 6,691$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,591.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +218.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked No | 59c | 5,436$3,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,207 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 18c | 5,031$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,125.02 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ec…0ff9backed Yes | 69c | 4,340$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde32…7b53backed Yes | 23c | 3,896$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,018.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd028…75f5backed Yes | 80c | 3,587$2,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4c…54e7backed No | 12c | 2,848$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked No | 43c | 2,825$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.98 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb4…a9bdbacked Yes | 42c | 2,722$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +139.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe484…7c7abacked No | 11c | 2,444$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 50c | 2,191$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.89 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…7bd8backed Yes | 37c | 2,163$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.66 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc303…113ebacked Yes | 22c | 2,048$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +294%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 77c | 2,006$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yes | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 48c | 1,887$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.14 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb6…1b65backed Yes | 50c | 1,814$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 20c | 1,801$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.2 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…1e98backed No | 70c | 1,608$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…bb41backed Yes | 35c | 1,371$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.19 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc578…fab0backed Yes | 39c | 1,341$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.56 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…935dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,298$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.38 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…b063backed Yes | 75c | 1,069$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 19c | 1,030$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.6 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 22c | 1,019$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.56 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.29per pick | 36cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked No | 52c | 999.99$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377a…f5f7backed Yes | 76c | 976.6$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…bff0backed Yes | 48c | 964.65$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48c3…dacdbacked Yes | 76c | 938.26$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 22c | 913.77$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.74 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…947fbacked No | 54c | 875.93$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddf…f2bebacked Yes | 48c | 875$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Yes | 79c | 859.89$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 60c | 850$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3573…b6f9backed No | 78c | 746.39$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc31…3624backed Yes | 48c | 704.51$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5804…dc41backed Yes | 70c | 642.86$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.86 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 62c | 634.52$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.77 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 22c | 630.35$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.51 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…165cbacked No | 80c | 629.55$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa464…91f8backed Yes | 80c | 627.15$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…1a5cbacked Yes | 40c | 623.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…c86cbacked Yes | 59c | 604.84$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Yes | 77c | 522.66$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.21 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 49c | 520$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ce…c3abbacked Yes | 56c | 516.73$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda08…72d4backed No | 58c | 513.22$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63fa…74d3backed Yes | 39c | 512.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 22c | 508.47$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.93 | 103 | 18.4%19 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a78…4d4ebacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…5d58backed Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 11c | 490$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.1 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 42c | 483.54$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.23 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…4b03backed No | 77c | 435.43$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb805…9e99backed Yes | 23c | 435.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5616…a88cbacked Yes | 47c | 431.44$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…498dbacked Yes | 23c | 431.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 25c | 427.88$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.78 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 24c | 416.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…3d1ebacked Yes | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad45…6fffbacked Yes | 58c | 399.99$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.49 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…fb64backed Yes | 42c | 379.06$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 68c | 342.65$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.65 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4c…ff37backed Yes | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…a0e7backed Yes | 35c | 338.1$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…409fbacked Yes | 22c | 334.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0232…9391backed Yes | 63c | 325.81$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2d…f0d4backed Yes | 78c | 320.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf087…40f5backed No | 79c | 317.56$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 76cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481c…73eebacked Yes | 19c | 306$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +229.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf296…9839backed No | 60c | 303.06$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked No | 64c | 302.75$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.94 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8024…ba91backed Yes | 20c | 299.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.7 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd71…d127backed No | 80c | 286.44$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc82d…3fc7backed Yes | 74c | 283.65$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6056…7227backed No | 57c | 277$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Yes | 68c | 259.31$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 19c | 259$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 20c | 256$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.8 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…cefbbacked Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed Yes | 37c | 236.66$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.1 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6704…baa4backed Yes | 77c | 232.74$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…d47cbacked No | 62c | 232.37$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.65 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6c…9047backed Yes | 65c | 231.01$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…2aeebacked Yes | 80c | 225.09$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 41c | 223.77$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.84 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 75c | 214.63$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.63 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed No | 78c | 208.09$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.31 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…2ec0backed Yes | 79c | 200.01$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jannik Sinner win the US Open?this page
- Will Alexander Zverev win the US Open?No won
- Will Andrey Rublev win the US Open?No won
- Will Ben Shelton win the US Open?No won
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the US Open?No won
- Will Frances Tiafoe win the US Open?No won
- Will Matteo Berrettini win the US Open?No won
- Will Novak Djokovic win the US Open?No won
- Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the US Open?No won
- Will Taylor Fritz win the US Open?No won
- Will Tommy Paul win the US Open?No won
- Will another player win the US Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.