Ukraine · resolved market
Trump cuts Ukraine aid before April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcafacec21088537778de406ac00826232d7d9df6eaa316686eef825333d64f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed No | 0c | 5,477$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…5e2fbacked No | 32c | 5,200$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,673.02 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b43…aef6backed No | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe645…2ed2backed No | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 76c | 2,778$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.24 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 14c | 2,760$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 62c | 2,100$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.25 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 34c | 1,832$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.5 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…6048backed No | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 70c | 998.01$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.4 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6718…80d1backed Yes | 65c | 811.31$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…8024backed Yes | 59c | 677.58$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e0…8d71backed No | 63c | 666.74$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed No | 41c | 653.28$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.9 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked No | 25c | 608.36$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.32 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3e…e98fbacked Yes | 55c | 602.82$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.82 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…6034backed No | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 72c | 600$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 74c | 599.99$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 13c | 569.7$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 39c | 515.75$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.6 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52e9…67c3backed Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed Yes | 70c | 427.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…d521backed No | 3c | 366.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbd…eec1backed Yes | 57c | 364.06$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c2…4c90backed Yes | 65c | 342.06$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 51c | 336.17$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.17 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd89b…7945backed Yes | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed No | 61c | 270.51$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.01 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea15…c292backed Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 37c | 267.88$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.47 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…e3e1backed No | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…4db3backed Yes | 66c | 249.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 30c | 241.77$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9e…518ebacked No | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +12.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4acf…eaf1backed No | 14c | 237.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…23ffbacked Yes | 53c | 227.09$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…f6abbacked Yes | 54c | 222.08$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…fe12backed Yes | 62c | 210$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 15c | 206$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…ef4cbacked Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 16c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c47…9b02backed No | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ad…c4d5backed No | 22c | 181.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d2…42d6backed No | 28c | 181.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…fe08backed No | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 62c | 158.59$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…7d2bbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d0…4e7dbacked Yes | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 72c | 146.57$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…3213backed No | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…0667backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…b248backed No | 42c | 138.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.12 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 42c | 130$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +10.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x74b5…e2ffbacked Yes | 73c | 125$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…8621backed No | 60c | 124.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 32c | 124.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Yes | 61c | 122.66$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6906…9995backed No | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 48c | 114.49$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…a125backed Yes | 72c | 108$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…b056backed No | 49c | 102.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.38per pick | 49cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes | 42c | 101.27$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.51 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…3600backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…7137backed No | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…18acbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…92cebacked Yes | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9513…a6a2backed Yes | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Yes | 54c | 82.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe157…4bebbacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 50cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…272dbacked Yes | 48c | 78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91f…6ca2backed Yes | 42c | 77.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 72c | 76.61$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed No | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +80%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e9…40dabacked No | 29c | 73.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebda…294ebacked Yes | 50c | 73.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -60%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc130…73d1backed No | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26df…f747backed Yes | 62c | 71.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd1…0310backed Yes | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…8f62backed Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb250…078cbacked Yes | 54c | 58.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 73c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…3a5dbacked Yes | 51c | 53.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed Yes | 55c | 50.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08eb…ee62backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…4007backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19dc…ec03backed Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed No | 54c | 48.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c40…09a6backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.