Ukraine · resolved market
Will Zelensky meet with Trump in September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf019aeb9924b457508f3182a47e6bc02e4a9c135d879c9524ab133f7dd82a3c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $194,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $213,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9739…159fbacked No | 4c | 15,605$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.03 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 76c | 10,688$8,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,591.83 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda8e…ae5dbacked No | 7c | 10,597$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 59c | 8,020$4,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,254.39 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 17c | 5,796$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…9e02backed No | 22c | 5,001$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7390…9160backed No | 28c | 4,761$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed Yes | 79c | 4,488$3,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.6 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed No | 66c | 2,840$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.13 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fd…829ebacked No | 33c | 2,734$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed No | 64c | 2,362$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.61 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 76c | 2,354$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.22 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 41c | 2,259$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.09 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed No | 4c | 2,213$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb438…b113backed Yes | 16c | 1,886$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +147.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d6…0b9cbacked No | 11c | 1,710$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 54c | 1,608$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.75 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…b063backed Yes | 43c | 1,602$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked No | 27c | 1,557$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.3 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 50c | 1,476$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6c…287cbacked No | 4c | 1,472$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b36…acebbacked Yes | 68c | 1,448$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5643…5390backed No | 10c | 1,388$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5263…bad3backed No | 24c | 1,304$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd1…b557backed No | 14c | 1,278$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.25 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a20…101cbacked No | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 60c | 1,110$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.89 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 46c | 1,019$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.21 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6b…29fdbacked No | 29c | 1,000$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed No | 20c | 1,000$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.62 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…7c5cbacked No | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f9…bb92backed No | 15c | 969.45$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x528b…fbf6backed No | 52c | 965.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94ac…df04backed No | 22c | 899.94$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 76c | 869.7$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.88 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1962…ffb3backed No | 6c | 799.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f62…c613backed No | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked Yes | 40c | 720.95$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.86 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e4…9d25backed Yes | 56c | 713.93$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…059ebacked No | 15c | 713.33$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…456cbacked No | 10c | 695.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd6…4ec1backed No | 19c | 693.2$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…cee5backed No | 5c | 595.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 46c | 580.99$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.06 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…3319backed No | 23c | 570.81$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…15abbacked No | 9c | 544.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed Yes | 34c | 506.91$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.09 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe81f…5c9fbacked No | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc7…167ebacked Yes | 49c | 489.88$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…6cfdbacked Yes | 33c | 465.36$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.86 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3683…68dbbacked No | 28c | 454.22$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bc…c4afbacked Yes | 45c | 452.92$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377f…9e02backed No | 19c | 438.75$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a04…1993backed Yes | 67c | 430.1$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…7e06backed No | 5c | 420$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 18cpaid | +705.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5650…8cbabacked No | 73c | 413.22$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +139.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…fd50backed No | 45c | 401.66$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3a…ee52backed No | 17c | 399.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed No | 43c | 378.62$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.54 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ce…c3abbacked Yes | 76c | 366.03$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x039e…c5e0backed No | 20c | 350$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked No | 4c | 333.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a78…4d4ebacked No | 12c | 332.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…8ee7backed No | 10c | 305$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed No | 18c | 300.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 89 | 27%24 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3f…83dbbacked No | 17c | 299.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Yes | 80c | 299.98$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c4…d1c7backed No | 13c | 295$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed No | 12c | 291$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb41…f828backed No | 7c | 287.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…b599backed No | 19c | 286.38$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed No | 26c | 283.1$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +85%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…57e5backed No | 64c | 259.68$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdf…97edbacked No | 43c | 252.72$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…6048backed No | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…954bbacked No | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1301…da6abacked No | 10c | 246.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45bd…d412backed Yes | 6c | 242.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f9…41d9backed No | 7c | 241.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc5…a867backed Yes | 49c | 238.07$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…a6d7backed No | 43c | 232.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd26…6310backed Yes | 79c | 230$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…92fbbacked No | 22c | 226.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf85b…5663backed Yes | 56c | 222.9$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.76 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91a1…5d25backed No | 38c | 217.58$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 73c | 215$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x996b…1e9cbacked No | 9c | 210.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c1…adc5backed No | 26c | 203.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…29debacked Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 79c | 199.99$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 28c | 191.67$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.67 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…2027backed No | 13c | 189.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 18c | 183.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01da…fc17backed No | 8c | 179.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2384…3e0bbacked No | 70c | 177.35$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.15 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…35c3backed No | 6c | 176.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6867…25b8backed Yes | 78c | 172.38$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a5…c8d9backed Yes | 78c | 169.18$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6704…baa4backed No | 12c | 169.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.