World Politics · resolved market
Will Motoristé get between 7% and 9% of the vote in the Czech election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb45dfe8c5df7e41f4d9b03c5ccb3ab6598a9feb1914be0c83daf16cd98a74ba8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 26c | 5,329$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.75 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 70c | 3,450$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.36 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368b…2458backed Yes | 32c | 2,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 44c | 1,773$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 31c | 1,560$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 76c | 1,089$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.38 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…8015backed No | 67c | 1,045$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.78 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 38c | 800$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed Yes | 57c | 775.36$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.45 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…f218backed No | 65c | 660.3$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.14 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c0…9bf9backed Yes | 43c | 606.97$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes | 42c | 555$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.1 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe841…1b59backed No | 73c | 549.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +117.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Yes | 20c | 546.47$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.78 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f0…e696backed Yes | 3c | 530$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x557e…e1d1backed No | 60c | 501.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed No | 80c | 475$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd188…f605backed No | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.1wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -53%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 23c | 381.26$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 65c | 375.49$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.02 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…e7cabacked No | 57c | 346.51$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.62 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa48e…b476backed Yes | 44c | 338.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…87a4backed No | 71c | 324.35$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.06 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be2…c5efbacked Yes | 10c | 312.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 24c | 282.07$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 56c | 277$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.88 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa110…78fabacked Yes | 17c | 269.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 22c | 262.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ab…15f9backed Yes | 39c | 257.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 30c | 254$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 123 | 32.5%40 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 41c | 201.77$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.93 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 80c | 201$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…2edabacked No | 70c | 187.96$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.26 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2790…f9f8backed Yes | 30c | 182.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 66c | 112.49$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…65d9backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb3…391dbacked Yes | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked No | 64c | 91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d37…a680backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27c…a828backed Yes | 23c | 81.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38bd…c3aabacked Yes | 63c | 79.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…f9f1backed No | 71c | 77.89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 51 | 74.5%38 W · 13 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf188…56f6backed Yes | 45c | 66.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…5f7fbacked No | 76c | 60.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -45%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4798…272bbacked Yes | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 70c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…eba9backed No | 75c | 52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 60c | 50.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 203 | 28.6%58 W · 145 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 150 | 26%39 W · 111 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f50…1fb6backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb257…f221backed Yes | 38c | 42.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405e…7289backed Yes | 36c | 31.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Motoristé get between 7% and 9% of the vote in the Czech election?this page
- Will Motoristé get between 3% and 5% of the vote in the Czech election?No won
- Will Motoristé get between 5% and 7% of the vote in the Czech election?Yes won
- Will Motoristé get less than 3% of the vote in the Czech election?No won
- Will Motoristé get more than 9% of the vote in the Czech election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.