World Politics · resolved market
Will Motoristé get between 5% and 7% of the vote in the Czech election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf629b392cb6ebbb90575ddcb2a4510ed4cba795e061bdb730df6aaeb4554ba7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 39c | 1,364$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.25 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 55c | 1,094$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.67 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…d4b9backed Yes | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 64c | 955.98$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.64 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…8cbebacked Yes | 34c | 917.28$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.13 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 8c | 899.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Yes | 57c | 696.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd188…f605backed Yes | 52c | 572.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.68 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.1wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -53%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c0…9bf9backed Yes | 32c | 555.12$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…65d9backed No | 69c | 545.57$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.91 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 65c | 428.63$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.3 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48e…b476backed Yes | 36c | 420.3$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…5a1bbacked Yes | 65c | 323.4$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…e7cabacked Yes | 32c | 290.91$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.91 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…f9f1backed No | 70c | 249.78$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.92 | 51 | 74.5%38 W · 13 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 6c | 241.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.05 | 172 | 27.9%48 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…f218backed No | 44c | 235.5$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.41 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 47c | 231.12$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.56 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 26c | 208.26$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.05 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…205cbacked Yes | 38c | 175$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…20ccbacked Yes | 64c | 155.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed Yes | 36c | 145.8$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.31 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…8015backed Yes | 63c | 145.13$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2790…f9f8backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ff…0d37backed Yes | 50c | 120.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.82 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 32c | 104.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.09 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…2edabacked No | 44c | 104.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Yes | 32c | 97.55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb3…391dbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa387…4f83backed Yes | 47c | 71.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d5…1945backed No | 68c | 70$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd5…094cbacked Yes | 37c | 63.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04d…3e1ebacked Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Yes | 24c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f50…1fb6backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 64c | 49.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked No | 48c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 314 | 43.9%138 W · 176 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4317…99d8backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e5…f261backed No | 58c | 30.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…38c2backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 67c | 25.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Motoristé get between 5% and 7% of the vote in the Czech election?this page
- Will Motoristé get between 3% and 5% of the vote in the Czech election?No won
- Will Motoristé get between 7% and 9% of the vote in the Czech election?No won
- Will Motoristé get less than 3% of the vote in the Czech election?No won
- Will Motoristé get more than 9% of the vote in the Czech election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.