World Politics · resolved market
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x513bf1706e9cbf61b7cc56f12803b1b72a522bae3c5157e7b356abdf36e2e72d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,692,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,874,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,692,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 416 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c46…b0a3backed Yes | 1c | 245,801$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,972.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…e9ebbacked Yes | 2c | 125,000$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 7c | 123,107$9,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,074.65 | 139 | 18%25 W · 114 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed Yes | 1c | 102,772$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…bd09backed Yes | 5c | 99,479$4,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,860.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6867…1da2backed Yes | 1c | 88,577$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf661…2259backed Yes | 1c | 86,637$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35bf…df94backed Yes | 2c | 84,314$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…e7a2backed Yes | 1c | 57,416$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Yes | 1c | 50,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 23cpaid | +154.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6635…ecb4backed Yes | 5c | 48,082$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 1c | 47,257$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.14 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e2…ea88backed Yes | 8c | 46,906$3,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,589.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 8c | 46,671$3,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,695.72 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -74%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed Yes | 7c | 44,798$2,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920.51 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 5c | 37,500$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…5b6dbacked Yes | 1c | 36,000$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 6c | 35,964$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,331.44 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…45acbacked Yes | 6c | 35,500$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae9b…f4bebacked Yes | 5c | 33,076$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…cd09backed Yes | 2c | 30,892$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf769…0114backed Yes | 5c | 29,313$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.28 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ab…e8f6backed Yes | 1c | 28,500$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.81 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +922.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb3…4aacbacked Yes | 7c | 27,644$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked Yes | 4c | 26,202$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.1 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…2caabacked Yes | 7c | 24,061$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 23,872$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.79 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes | 5c | 23,760$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.35 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed Yes | 7c | 22,720$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.96 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 2c | 22,145$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.26 | 141 | 26.2%37 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed Yes | 8c | 21,006$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.53 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fe…3ee3backed Yes | 4c | 20,783$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.48 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Yes | 2c | 18,955$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…5b03backed Yes | 0c | 18,130$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…d240backed Yes | 3c | 17,796$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.88 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…22b0backed Yes | 2c | 16,603$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b2…9670backed Yes | 8c | 16,198$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Yes | 9c | 15,068$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.82 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +25%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4733…22b9backed Yes | 3c | 14,896$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e29…21e9backed Yes | 5c | 14,491$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Yes | 4c | 14,166$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 2c | 14,008$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.08 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Yes | 8c | 13,894$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.74 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a8…92d3backed Yes | 7c | 12,951$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 6c | 12,812$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.22 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c131backed Yes | 2c | 12,658$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf08e…c7e9backed Yes | 3c | 12,656$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…9875backed Yes | 1c | 12,382$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab6c…4bb7backed Yes | 8c | 12,361$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.86 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b6…83c8backed Yes | 5c | 12,289$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccab…6212backed Yes | 8c | 11,744$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 8c | 11,590$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.5 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca6…75dbbacked Yes | 1c | 11,079$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c81…502ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,899$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…3010backed Yes | 7c | 10,890$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f2…e1c1backed Yes | 7c | 10,742$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes | 2c | 10,096$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.61 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 7c | 10,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…2497backed Yes | 7c | 10,000$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Yes | 8c | 9,667$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc024…6fd3backed Yes | 0c | 9,450$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc3…f32dbacked Yes | 7c | 9,052$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af7…5f54backed Yes | 2c | 8,902$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a2…9524backed Yes | 1c | 8,675$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…788dbacked Yes | 8c | 8,563$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…73f8backed Yes | 1c | 8,423$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb2…56f6backed Yes | 1c | 8,332$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16fb…ba62backed Yes | 1c | 8,300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x537e…6274backed Yes | 0c | 8,206$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e19…669dbacked Yes | 4c | 8,198$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.87 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…43e8backed Yes | 1c | 8,052$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928c…0f9ebacked Yes | 7c | 7,833$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 1c | 7,613$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8b…b92abacked Yes | 1c | 7,517$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 8c | 7,389$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.64 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9c…8361backed Yes | 1c | 7,167$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79e…ebf7backed Yes | 1c | 7,143$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d67…bbffbacked Yes | 8c | 6,784$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c53…bffebacked Yes | 7c | 6,675$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf489…5d1abacked Yes | 8c | 6,496$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8603…e0c4backed Yes | 8c | 6,206$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…cc81backed Yes | 8c | 5,934$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.93 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5db…8409backed Yes | 2c | 5,805$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf974…e20bbacked Yes | 5c | 5,762$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328d…f7a9backed Yes | 6c | 5,752$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.06 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fa…cd8ebacked Yes | 2c | 5,739$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Yes | 2c | 5,441$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdb…c4eebacked Yes | 1c | 5,410$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,355$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e4…9b0bbacked Yes | 5c | 5,306$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24fd…1250backed Yes | 7c | 5,150$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2b…665abacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa208…aa91backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ed…9a97backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +55%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb5…e36ebacked Yes | 7c | 4,961$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ec…4f9fbacked Yes | 4c | 4,951$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…138bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,762$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked Yes | 6c | 4,688$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaac0…d7a2backed Yes | 7c | 4,671$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c9…6e1abacked Yes | 3c | 4,652$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?this page
- Will Jovan Owusu-Nepaul win the Clacton by-election?No won
- Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.