TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will Bronny score in his next game?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,213
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,420

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,213 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x542a…0312backed No43c2,143$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2af6…6fbfbacked Yes49c1,906$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18e1…a569backed No51c1,906$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3501,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5e2…25f7backed Yes49c779.98$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86a2…be38backed Yes66c730.42$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8153…4d71backed Yes70c711$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7d…66a3backed No46c694.99$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc723…05fbbacked No30c694.98$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4294…ee29backed Yes59c665.48$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x260d…9679backed Yes66c524.85$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.21922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-68.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8258…f208backed No33c523.01$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.57032.9%23 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No36c521.17$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.8213240.2%53 W · 79 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf916…9224backed Yes69c426.39$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes35c326.25$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.0653134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00a9…36bbbacked No31c324.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ee…d947backed No34c320.77$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked No32c300.58$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb27d…fc9cbacked No52c255.68$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ef…8090backed No40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d0…8605backed Yes65c250$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No32c250$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8023833.2%79 W · 159 L-19.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8d1…23c0backed No68c224.96$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15440%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x89f3…4d8cbacked Yes73c224.48$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.61540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x563f…ce64backed No33c217.09$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc7…1308backed Yes69c217$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked No31c214.36$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.458743.7%38 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f7d…4feabacked No52c207.25$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10730%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ec4…673ebacked Yes61c202.76$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yes70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6036843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1cf…9656backed Yes69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick46cpaid-72.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6e09…54a8backed Yes57c197.37$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67a5…b94fbacked No33c179.09$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+34.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd431…1dfbbacked No62c173.13$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.61346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa73c…97fcbacked No31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29f1…78b8backed No31c160.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc875…a7b7backed No30c155.52$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-46.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x201b…ebbdbacked Yes68c150.53$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc412…592dbacked No28c150.29$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.862330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-37.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa20…fd0dbacked Yes69c150$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb53c…07c4backed No29c149.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed Yes65c119.96$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5914560.7%88 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa0…aacdbacked Yes69c116$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3176…b725backed Yes45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf044…1ea2backed Yes69c106.47$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked No31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3117335.8%62 W · 111 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…0fc0backed Yes68c92.65$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0b7…af8bbacked No54c91.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad04…e581backed No37c90.85$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0630%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5754…e515backed No57c88.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.253438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+46.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7293…0ef5backed No31c87.14$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x548b…6155backed No36c86.69$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb2e…4d83backed Yes64c83.03$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.63366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41d2…6bd4backed Yes68c82.34$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5c0…e5d6backed No55c80$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes57c79.42$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.426046.7%28 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x880f…5b63backed No32c71.88$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab73…d7d7backed Yes72c70.15$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3723…ad4dbacked Yes72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.443100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f82…2d74backed Yes62c65.83$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.87714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-77%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f06…6203backed No33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f65…4682backed Yes69c56$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed No31c54.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0516443.3%71 W · 93 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd19f…cfaabacked Yes64c52.76$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb508…cb11backed Yes69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb2…6dbebacked Yes68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67a9…c417backed No34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3cd…5da7backed Yes69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00c…c2f4backed No38c47.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbe1…5677backed No60c47.03$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.226738.8%26 W · 41 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x94fe…ad58backed Yes69c44.93$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb32c…2397backed No57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c83…865bbacked Yes71c42.26$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef79…96dcbacked Yes69c42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.02540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5624…b9abbacked Yes69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee1…d07abacked Yes68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf95e…ea75backed Yes69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No36c35.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.831,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb6…ebaebacked Yes68c32.35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2335…d7d5backed Yes69c31.9$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.89757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x989b…d3b0backed Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5781…95a2backed Yes69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.31233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-52.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c34…92c9backed Yes71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4efa…d02dbacked Yes69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.99366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde90…e651backed Yes71c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa3…8cf6backed Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d75…fda6backed Yes69c27.16$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac6…82a6backed Yes66c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.57119.7%14 W · 57 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-51.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cde…9956backed Yes72c23.44$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.632373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x48da…0419backed Yes69c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…55dfbacked Yes69c21.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1390…a13bbacked Yes71c21.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ca8…0a57backed Yes70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78ee…b7aebacked Yes69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d5…dc6dbacked Yes69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd623…2727backed Yes71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc86a…2e35backed Yes71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9a…3e9cbacked Yes70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac9e…7af8backed Yes70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.