Space · resolved market
SpaceX Starship launch by Nov 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a9c74cacb418bd29122ffe68450ff7e4a18feb4b898c83012505c04baae1307
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Spaceevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Space is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Space | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x755d…3837backed Yes | 0c | 4,389$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 29c | 4,031$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +172.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 1c | 2,576$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x766f…3115backed Yes | 66c | 1,639$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…b6ccbacked No | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…bd07backed Yes | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…d9d0backed No | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…894bbacked Yes | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x105a…e06fbacked Yes | 78c | 1,450$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 24c | 1,410$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c7…625bbacked No | 23c | 1,406$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +331.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f36…6c9cbacked Yes | 73c | 1,368$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6e…5727backed Yes | 75c | 1,349$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1450…5c97backed No | 27c | 1,299$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +275.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 18c | 1,293$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.63 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Yes | 4c | 1,280$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f6…8e62backed Yes | 78c | 1,156$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca88…efb2backed Yes | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a69…fff9backed Yes | 77c | 969.7$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked No | 24c | 749.97$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…e434backed No | 23c | 684.94$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +114%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…d70abacked Yes | 75c | 682.68$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ce…dd52backed Yes | 48c | 656$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +145.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc7…06b9backed Yes | 78c | 640.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 20c | 633.1$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.09 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 76c | 608.86$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.75 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…5293backed Yes | 75c | 603.23$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…148cbacked Yes | 75c | 582.9$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd188…7b93backed Yes | 4c | 560.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 20c | 542.56$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f43…e066backed Yes | 68c | 520.75$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3844…d930backed Yes | 20c | 490.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed No | 22c | 457.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 27cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…eb03backed No | 21c | 415.95$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +240%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…1668backed No | 40c | 368.68$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +116.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 12c | 368.58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.35 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 73c | 359.95$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.55 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc222…3d96backed Yes | 77c | 345.9$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +150%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69da…f98cbacked No | 29c | 344.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf23d…65bbbacked No | 28c | 334.64$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +252.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7829…f4ccbacked Yes | 16c | 321.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…168fbacked No | 22c | 301.41$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +333.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…d6f9backed No | 26c | 299.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed No | 25c | 274.39$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +134.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 19c | 250.79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.96 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…14a4backed Yes | 71c | 230.12$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed No | 29c | 222.24$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +153.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd316…c8cfbacked Yes | 75c | 214.44$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bcfabacked Yes | 77c | 210.54$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 32c | 210$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…744bbacked Yes | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Yes | 76c | 200.02$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…786dbacked Yes | 72c | 191.79$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e50…235dbacked Yes | 22c | 191.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f7…02dfbacked No | 53c | 179.89$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd77…84edbacked Yes | 71c | 177.16$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3952…f814backed No | 23c | 176.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +65%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…d41dbacked No | 21c | 173.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +373.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…5ab4backed No | 28c | 173.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 43cpaid | +166.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Yes | 74c | 159.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc620…2da3backed No | 26c | 140$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4771…bc47backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ba…97a1backed Yes | 76c | 135$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69a4…bba9backed Yes | 39c | 135$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2b…bea9backed Yes | 75c | 134.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Yes | 71c | 125.63$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 68c | 123.63$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.94 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd0…f7a4backed No | 29c | 107.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +246.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…1d8dbacked No | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec9d…a6edbacked No | 23c | 101.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x603a…fc8bbacked Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…3de2backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…b248backed Yes | 78c | 99.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc1…bd3bbacked Yes | 37c | 99.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe986…61c8backed Yes | 72c | 99.59$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1236…60adbacked Yes | 77c | 95.81$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 74c | 94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c9…96afbacked No | 29c | 94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 36cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc68…2885backed No | 58c | 93.8$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…70f3backed No | 29c | 91.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +247.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…fa7bbacked Yes | 77c | 91.53$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 25c | 88.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.91 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c71…14a4backed No | 24c | 84.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Yes | 79c | 84.16$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x18c9…0570backed Yes | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf77d…61d2backed Yes | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a6…5ceebacked Yes | 74c | 80$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…8c07backed Yes | 77c | 76.78$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…fc4cbacked No | 36c | 76.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +125.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78ce…ac67backed Yes | 80c | 75.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked No | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…36f1backed Yes | 72c | 69.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd375…6637backed No | 29c | 69.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…94acbacked Yes | 66c | 68.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8a…870cbacked Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf80…09f0backed Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 25c | 66.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a97…dc6cbacked No | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d6…24aabacked No | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +272.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…90b1backed No | 20c | 60.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +394.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Space and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.