Us Politics · resolved market
Trump announces additional funding cuts to Harvard before June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd464f7b214cc1a7db7925280433784fad97364728fbc87ca3a78a5bf2157749a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3143…81b1backed No | 76c | 1,673$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.24 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 66c | 1,511$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.09 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked Yes | 29c | 1,054$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.14 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff0…ad1ebacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 60c | 953.23$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.22 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc160…ce0abacked No | 79c | 827.97$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.33 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 79c | 800$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 78c | 744.52$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.52 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed Yes | 11c | 733.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.33 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 22c | 686.17$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.91 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 44c | 651.09$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.45 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 21c | 600$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 18c | 581.11$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.41 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 25c | 519.89$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.12 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 74c | 400.53$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.26 | 153 | 32.7%50 W · 103 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 13c | 381.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.11 | 148 | 19.6%29 W · 119 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 48c | 356.47$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.83 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 50c | 310.98$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.04 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…025ebacked Yes | 24c | 310.46$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.95 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…cd82backed Yes | 23c | 236.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.24 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 77c | 214$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 23c | 200$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 191.87$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.48 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed Yes | 19c | 190$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.5 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…709cbacked No | 31c | 181$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 44c | 178.74$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.65 | 141 | 25.5%36 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 19c | 175.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.33 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 79c | 171.01$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.84 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…f9afbacked Yes | 56c | 160.36$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06af…3741backed Yes | 22c | 160$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 12c | 157.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.9 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa129…57c3backed Yes | 28c | 140.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 16c | 135$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.05 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 18c | 130$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0756…d711backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…d61cbacked Yes | 26c | 114.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.07 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Yes | 65c | 111$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 48c | 104.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…c9dabacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8196…ab69backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe991…9969backed Yes | 22c | 79.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.39 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 76c | 75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…4ab1backed No | 42c | 70.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…3d2fbacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +228%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 235 | 43.8%103 W · 132 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8f…162cbacked No | 20c | 53.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87bc…a922backed Yes | 26c | 49.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…bfcdbacked No | 76c | 46.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x644c…0dbfbacked No | 28c | 39.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 39c | 38.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 240 | 35.4%85 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked Yes | 69c | 36.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…78d1backed No | 56c | 35.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 72.4%55 W · 21 L | +14.7wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed Yes | 68c | 20.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2c…b96cbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.