World Politics · resolved market
Will turnout be more than 69% in the Czech election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b898c6c65bfa2da37c7bb7619b03f70787e05079bc71f320ae1ec9394ba38c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 5c | 4,193$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.57 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 32c | 3,193$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.14 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed Yes | 49c | 1,959$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Yes | 6c | 1,434$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.21 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Yes | 47c | 1,061$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74b9…47cebacked Yes | 9c | 768.14$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…a3f4backed No | 75c | 733.82$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 21c | 670.34$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.77 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…e7cabacked Yes | 38c | 577.64$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked No | 73c | 550.88$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.85 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +154.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe385…a91fbacked No | 78c | 513.16$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a4…996dbacked Yes | 34c | 506.63$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.33 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -5.4wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd317…025abacked Yes | 26c | 502.19$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 14c | 421.71$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb40…ac42backed Yes | 16c | 409.15$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ff…0d37backed Yes | 10c | 400.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes | 28c | 399.16$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.09 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f0…e696backed Yes | 7c | 349.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes | 42c | 331.5$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.73 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 15c | 318.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f1…ec06backed No | 73c | 264.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 251$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 5c | 229.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 149 | 4.7%7 W · 142 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked No | 59c | 187.81$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.29 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf91d…d7cebacked Yes | 37c | 184.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…f0bfbacked No | 79c | 163.19$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac0…8bd1backed Yes | 33c | 158.28$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b76…5d99backed Yes | 43c | 132.52$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…8cbebacked Yes | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf968…84bdbacked Yes | 21c | 125$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +78%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a2…a812backed Yes | 10c | 109.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe237…9c8fbacked Yes | 15c | 106.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd69…1046backed Yes | 45c | 89.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…e282backed Yes | 50c | 75.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…8f7ebacked No | 60c | 65.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Yes | 41c | 51.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f5…90abbacked Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…e8a2backed Yes | 43c | 44.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd5…094cbacked Yes | 43c | 44.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e08…db4bbacked Yes | 49c | 41.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcde1…9810backed Yes | 42c | 31.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will turnout be more than 69% in the Czech election?this page
- Will turnout be between 60% and 63% in the Czech election?No won
- Will turnout be between 63% and 66% in the Czech election?No won
- Will turnout be between 66% and 69% in the Czech election?Yes won
- Will turnout be less than 60% in the Czech election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.