World Politics · resolved market
Will turnout be between 66% and 69% in the Czech election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x858b43da775449fdf26ac016d1d9f228c7382911826a900c71e03add15cb7cc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed Yes | 65c | 1,820$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a4…996dbacked Yes | 75c | 1,384$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.2 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -5.4wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…0483backed No | 78c | 1,151$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 54c | 965.79$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.44 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes | 73c | 910.04$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.14 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd317…025abacked Yes | 62c | 800$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 49c | 777$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 23c | 725.26$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.88 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed No | 44c | 616$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.44 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 78c | 610.68$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.91 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…87a4backed Yes | 72c | 600$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Yes | 25c | 562.06$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.58 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Yes | 16c | 532.57$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.69 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…a5b0backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 3c | 340.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 15c | 300$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60f…6c4bbacked Yes | 74c | 282.43$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…a3f4backed No | 23c | 277.54$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 20c | 261.49$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Yes | 10c | 242.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.3 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +7.4wins | +0.31per pick | 15cpaid | +216.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…e7cabacked No | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x073d…0adebacked Yes | 72c | 195.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf91d…d7cebacked Yes | 73c | 194.63$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked No | 31c | 174.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 56c | 170.84$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.9 | 112 | 22.3%25 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd188…f605backed No | 65c | 153.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.1wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -53%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…f0bfbacked Yes | 71c | 147.65$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.48 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 56c | 147.19$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.43 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…8cbebacked Yes | 24c | 137$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.63 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…08ffbacked No | 75c | 136.48$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.42 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f0…e696backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…f82ebacked No | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 42c | 99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.26 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb3…391dbacked Yes | 49c | 92.07$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed Yes | 19c | 90.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36f1…ec06backed Yes | 75c | 84.49$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Yes | 22c | 82.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…2525backed Yes | 28c | 72.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +298.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 78c | 71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b76…5d99backed Yes | 75c | 61.94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…b387backed Yes | 67c | 59.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 53c | 53.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…e8a2backed Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 64c | 31.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 203 | 28.6%58 W · 145 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…f962backed Yes | 51c | 27.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f5…90abbacked Yes | 70c | 21.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 61c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 314 | 43.9%138 W · 176 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc0…cd0abacked No | 76c | 14.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will turnout be between 66% and 69% in the Czech election?this page
- Will turnout be between 60% and 63% in the Czech election?No won
- Will turnout be between 63% and 66% in the Czech election?No won
- Will turnout be less than 60% in the Czech election?No won
- Will turnout be more than 69% in the Czech election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.