World Politics · resolved market
Will the Liberal Party win the Nunavut seat in the next Canadian Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d31f8de992a622a2e94aa6bb4d5a3973994bd1217eb5c9cadf90aef63fa9ba5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $411,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $411,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $411,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe2f0…2147backed Yes | 48c | 35,810$17,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,188.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc2…3092backed No | 52c | 35,810$18,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,188.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc3…f339backed Yes | 47c | 30,211$14,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,199.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…cca0backed No | 53c | 30,211$16,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,199.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…5f66backed Yes | 47c | 28,856$13,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,562.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2623…9454backed No | 53c | 28,856$15,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,562.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…ebdcbacked No | 57c | 28,044$15,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,058.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab3…faa2backed Yes | 43c | 28,044$12,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,058.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…40edbacked Yes | 46c | 26,106$12,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,008.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2da…682bbacked No | 54c | 26,106$14,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,008.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x964e…a040backed Yes | 44c | 21,902$9,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,636.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56bb…5637backed No | 56c | 21,902$12,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,636.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 45c | 16,534$7,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,453.84 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 53c | 5,919$3,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,121.15 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed Yes | 56c | 3,953$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.81 | 101 | 22.8%23 W · 78 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 55c | 3,704$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.09 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 44c | 3,696$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.27 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 45c | 3,200$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.99 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 45c | 2,523$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.38 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 57c | 2,088$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.76 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 44c | 1,893$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.93 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 46c | 1,694$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.1 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes | 41c | 1,500$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.06 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae06…8acebacked Yes | 41c | 1,246$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.5 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…2f8abacked Yes | 52c | 908.36$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.25 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7538…403cbacked No | 45c | 875$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 43c | 869$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.27 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 44c | 850$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 56c | 807.67$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.37 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 50c | 767.68$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.55 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 46c | 766.88$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.47 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 46c | 757.76$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.74 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked No | 54c | 751$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.35 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 51c | 526.5$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.62 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 43c | 444.16$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.77 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 53c | 441.58$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.38 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…7479backed Yes | 43c | 380.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…6e02backed Yes | 51c | 380$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c5…ead5backed Yes | 55c | 355$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed Yes | 42c | 349.9$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.96 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f6…d90ebacked No | 45c | 320$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74a7…9204backed No | 51c | 320$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed Yes | 41c | 313.87$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.56 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 47c | 308.51$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c07…48d9backed Yes | 76c | 295$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab4…9464backed Yes | 55c | 290$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d62…f8eabacked Yes | 53c | 260$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…ccf3backed Yes | 55c | 260$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 58c | 250.5$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.71 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1088…b813backed Yes | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…cd82backed Yes | 53c | 249.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 41c | 229$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 123 | 32.5%40 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 42c | 204.1$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.72 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +340%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed No | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb06…d702backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed No | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 41c | 194$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a2…6a88backed Yes | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 51c | 189.28$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…2f53backed No | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd112…c648backed Yes | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…db0abacked Yes | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c37…92a4backed Yes | 44c | 166.08$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed Yes | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bf…b84fbacked No | 54c | 135.81$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.12 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9053…7915backed Yes | 44c | 125$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -78%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 55c | 121.64$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 58c | 120.46$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.78 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 57c | 120.31$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 55c | 115.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…3c45backed No | 44c | 113$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…07c3backed Yes | 55c | 110$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0653…690ebacked Yes | 55c | 110$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 12c | 100.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.03 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3b…c3e2backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…bb92backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38cc…f88ebacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1757…4a8dbacked Yes | 41c | 99.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34e6…cd63backed No | 48c | 99.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.73 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…b3b6backed No | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 40c | 79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked No | 65c | 77.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…cc33backed No | 24c | 70$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 54c | 64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 50c | 57.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 314 | 43.9%138 W · 176 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd69…a2e1backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…c417backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 43c | 45.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d13…cd85backed Yes | 63c | 42.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cb…27b3backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b8…2d61backed Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…2ae8backed No | 30c | 39.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Yes | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Liberal Party win the Nunavut seat in the next Canadian Election?this page
- Will another party win the Nunavut seat in the next Canadian Election?No won
- Will the Conservative Party win the Nunavut seat in the next Canadian Election?No won
- Will the New Democratic Party win the Nunavut seat in the next Canadian Election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.