World Politics · resolved market
Will the New Democratic Party win the Nunavut seat in the next Canadian Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3794a5366e5f60c192c4279602ff0061acf4e753a172895ec288434e4896957b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $258,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $259,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c8b…e496backed Yes | 50c | 38,234$19,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,117 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70e5…e989backed No | 50c | 38,234$19,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,117 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c8…2898backed Yes | 51c | 27,208$13,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,331.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee4…fb16backed No | 49c | 27,208$13,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,331.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…177ebacked Yes | 50c | 26,155$13,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,077.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc3…f339backed No | 50c | 26,155$13,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,077.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 52c | 10,477$5,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,021.85 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 42c | 6,299$2,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,637.22 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked No | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 58c | 4,150$2,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.88 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 46c | 4,050$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173.49 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 49c | 3,823$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.68 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 47c | 2,611$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.07 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 43c | 2,599$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.15 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 68c | 2,172$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.41 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 59c | 1,702$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.08 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 51c | 1,700$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.99 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 44c | 1,666$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.5 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 42c | 1,438$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.33 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…5291backed Yes | 58c | 1,365$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.35 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 43c | 1,340$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.18 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bf…b84fbacked Yes | 57c | 1,010$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…0294backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a4…621abacked Yes | 60c | 892.76$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.1 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 50c | 869$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.15 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd69…a2e1backed No | 43c | 706.65$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.65 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 51c | 700$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 38c | 680.97$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 55c | 625.32$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.39 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38d…6c36backed Yes | 46c | 540.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.65 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…cd82backed Yes | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 50c | 479.7$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.49 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Yes | 50c | 459.39$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.7 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…2f8abacked No | 60c | 418.34$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.31 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 46c | 400.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.29 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 53c | 367.04$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.23 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a2…6a88backed Yes | 59c | 338$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.9 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…73a1backed Yes | 57c | 320$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.6 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 52c | 204.1$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.97 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +340%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…cc33backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38cc…f88ebacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…3c45backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8faf…3b96backed Yes | 52c | 178.33$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…ed73backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes | 60c | 160.18$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.07 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +147.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 50c | 146.61$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.25 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…fcd6backed No | 49c | 137.08$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 51c | 134.94$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.71 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 70c | 129.37$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…c904backed Yes | 51c | 125.86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes | 40c | 119$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked No | 41c | 113$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x487c…7795backed No | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed No | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed No | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 69 | 20.3%14 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…cdaebacked Yes | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c0…8742backed Yes | 28c | 96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…58d6backed No | 49c | 88.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 55c | 88.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a72…8d8abacked No | 50c | 84.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef1e…f5e9backed Yes | 51c | 78.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 63c | 70.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Yes | 60c | 68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed Yes | 49c | 61.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…6e02backed No | 52c | 59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b41…3606backed Yes | 48c | 59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 59c | 53.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0dc…9035backed No | 50c | 52.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x870e…ed56backed Yes | 48c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 146 | 32.2%47 W · 99 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…dcd2backed Yes | 51c | 47.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceaa…e5f4backed Yes | 51c | 47.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 51c | 45.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe81a…21e1backed No | 50c | 44.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 40c | 44.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…618cbacked Yes | 59c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3836…5de3backed No | 50c | 41.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2703…66eabacked No | 50c | 40.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb535…2b93backed Yes | 52c | 40.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x926c…a599backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa413…a0febacked No | 50c | 38.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…b3b6backed Yes | 49c | 33.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x426b…6bb8backed Yes | 52c | 33.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…fb21backed No | 49c | 33.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 55c | 33.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92e2…1aabbacked No | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacb…8777backed No | 41c | 28.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf907…55d7backed No | 49c | 28.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b3…5dc9backed Yes | 51c | 26.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba5b…f1e5backed No | 42c | 25.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the New Democratic Party win the Nunavut seat in the next Canadian Election?this page
- Will another party win the Nunavut seat in the next Canadian Election?No won
- Will the Conservative Party win the Nunavut seat in the next Canadian Election?No won
- Will the Liberal Party win the Nunavut seat in the next Canadian Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.