NFL · resolved market
Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Pittsburgh Steelers?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc9bf7290739cd2cac8d8c5928127756d76854aa04ec0c2b7c29d90468ef52aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $230,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $230,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfaac…2e1fbacked No | 32c | 33,213$10,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,761.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfafd…51a2backed Yes | 68c | 33,213$22,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,761.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…eb00backed No | 36c | 29,511$10,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,623.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8b…e496backed Yes | 64c | 29,511$18,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,623.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed No | 0c | 10,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 7c | 6,591$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.78 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed No | 25c | 5,941$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.9 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 1c | 2,706$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec0…87f3backed No | 36c | 2,062$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.57 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 77c | 1,870$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.46 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Yes | 74c | 1,856$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.99 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked No | 7c | 1,658$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.7 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 22c | 1,481$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.06 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked No | 22c | 1,211$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.03 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed No | 26c | 1,127$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.48 | 199 | 48.2%96 W · 103 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…1322backed Yes | 68c | 1,108$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c42…1f0ebacked Yes | 58c | 1,077$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91f…e850backed Yes | 61c | 1,063$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed No | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked Yes | 74c | 868.84$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.6 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 31c | 710.44$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.86 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked No | 30c | 657.45$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.98 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed No | 14c | 650$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.26 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 78c | 599.04$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.37 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed Yes | 70c | 596$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 32c | 585.04$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.06 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked No | 13c | 558.16$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.65 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 78c | 550$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.84 | 132 | 17.4%23 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…1ebbbacked Yes | 44c | 546.67$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.08 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Yes | 54c | 495.41$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.11 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd702…019cbacked No | 16c | 485.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 43c | 482.14$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.96 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…2ae8backed No | 21c | 479.64$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d6…d072backed Yes | 53c | 450$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e48…d8a4backed Yes | 66c | 430.5$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3d…8322backed Yes | 78c | 407.65$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed No | 15c | 399.4$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 24c | 365.36$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.44 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87f…9d9bbacked Yes | 11c | 350$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.5 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5d…aefabacked Yes | 71c | 338.01$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe395…2a72backed No | 60c | 330$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.73 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…c91ebacked No | 11c | 329.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 21c | 325.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 78c | 300$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc68…47bdbacked Yes | 66c | 293.73$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.17 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…9b81backed Yes | 63c | 289.68$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd598…e859backed Yes | 7c | 284.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.48 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +174%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed Yes | 75c | 278.22$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.81 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…3ba7backed Yes | 77c | 260.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.46 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 23c | 237.63$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -47%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…dd01backed Yes | 12c | 233.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.32 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…9c2dbacked No | 9c | 224.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked No | 22c | 223.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…ad17backed Yes | 67c | 220.89$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed No | 30c | 207.65$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed Yes | 40c | 194.92$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +149.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…890bbacked No | 22c | 189.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x401a…d730backed Yes | 57c | 188.48$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.73 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7364…d44ebacked Yes | 76c | 182.08$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.41 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 68c | 164.78$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 78c | 164.66$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6a…4846backed Yes | 79c | 161.24$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6997…c67cbacked No | 14c | 154$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 79c | 153.69$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c13…7b4bbacked Yes | 66c | 151.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee7…37f0backed Yes | 18c | 150.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…e9ffbacked No | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 12cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…7b76backed Yes | 76c | 144.61$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e0…0fedbacked Yes | 68c | 144.55$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2c…5c34backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Yes | 65c | 138.52$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9171…a0c6backed Yes | 77c | 129.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa74…4c14backed Yes | 77c | 128.41$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…c353backed Yes | 62c | 126.31$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba95…908fbacked Yes | 63c | 125.21$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x100d…496abacked No | 29c | 121.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b0…f9a8backed No | 28c | 117$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f79…fa7fbacked No | 22c | 114.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…168abacked Yes | 36c | 111.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.8 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6a…6db6backed Yes | 68c | 111.71$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 73c | 103$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8244…7a11backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 73c | 97.9$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdafa…4d83backed No | 22c | 94.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff3…b24dbacked Yes | 69c | 89.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed No | 22c | 88.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 69c | 88$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bf…096fbacked No | 22c | 81.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793e…5e06backed Yes | 78c | 70.29$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…0caabacked Yes | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…322ebacked Yes | 26c | 70$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +287.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc354…de11backed No | 76c | 70$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a59…e94cbacked Yes | 72c | 69.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154f…ad90backed Yes | 80c | 68.01$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…d12abacked No | 21c | 65.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9af…2904backed No | 22c | 65.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b36…17e5backed Yes | 80c | 63.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Pittsburgh Steelers?this page
- Will Aaron Rodgers retire?No won
- Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Indianapolis Colts?No won
- Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Las Vegas Raiders?No won
- Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Los Angeles Rams?No won
- Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Minnesota Vikings?No won
- Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the New York Giants?No won
- Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the San Francisco 49ers?No won
- Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Tennessee Titans?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.