NFL · resolved market
Will Aaron Rodgers retire?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x674f1afca5c566b2badc0a8bd150d8988b2f9927033d02ade1ec15586d688db3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $461,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $446,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $461,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd122…4e82backed Yes | 59c | 122,020$71,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,991.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…6b89backed No | 41c | 122,000$50,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,980 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f1…e733backed No | 55c | 76,000$41,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…bc74backed Yes | 45c | 76,000$34,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 10,590$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 4,036$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.25 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed Yes | 2c | 2,968$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed Yes | 9c | 2,458$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.94 | 199 | 48.2%96 W · 103 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,068$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 26c | 1,866$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.52 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 6c | 1,362$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.86 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd86…f2dcbacked Yes | 4c | 1,037$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c42…1f0ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…ab99backed Yes | 12c | 972.9$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 75c | 816.83$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.78 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…1ebbbacked Yes | 2c | 776$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…444bbacked Yes | 5c | 705.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0c…862abacked Yes | 10c | 648.37$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 40c | 542.35$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.94 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 17c | 503.01$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.64 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 70c | 398.79$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.07 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…f5f7backed Yes | 3c | 373.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Yes | 14c | 363.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5d…aefabacked Yes | 21c | 323$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6d…6b4ebacked Yes | 11c | 319.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 52c | 264.23$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.63 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5417backed Yes | 6c | 256$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 227.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 29c | 220.03$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 77 | 18.2%14 W · 63 L | -11.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…e2d3backed No | 46c | 216.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.57 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa13d…47f5backed Yes | 25c | 206$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee7…37f0backed No | 57c | 204.89$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 14c | 204.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 120 | 31.7%38 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…cb50backed Yes | 19c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 30c | 197.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…dd01backed Yes | 48c | 185.44$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…aa35backed Yes | 43c | 185$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…de48backed No | 49c | 172.86$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…ad17backed Yes | 7c | 171.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…ecfebacked Yes | 18c | 168.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 56c | 160.17$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 23c | 158.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f79…fa7fbacked Yes | 16c | 155.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Yes | 17c | 150.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 14c | 146.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79a5…d08abacked Yes | 10c | 139$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f2…55c6backed No | 40c | 122.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a0…45fdbacked No | 44c | 111.07$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…0ee3backed Yes | 12c | 101$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…88bcbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…310cbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 19c | 99.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…d32abacked Yes | 53c | 99.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 33c | 98.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26c4…641bbacked Yes | 69c | 94.06$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98c…02c6backed Yes | 57c | 91.49$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…634dbacked Yes | 59c | 83.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 42c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…dfefbacked Yes | 66c | 79.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -6.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa7af…fddfbacked Yes | 61c | 79.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…8185backed No | 57c | 77.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781f…6763backed Yes | 43c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7716…1938backed No | 41c | 66.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6176…9682backed No | 52c | 58.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb19…f163backed Yes | 46c | 56.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 73c | 54.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -10.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4696…6a7dbacked Yes | 20c | 54.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d3…3ee8backed No | 48c | 50.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…c6c2backed Yes | 55c | 50.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…f095backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f19…3aedbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6d…72b3backed No | 41c | 43.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…6d3fbacked Yes | 43c | 43.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…c55ebacked Yes | 60c | 40.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38f…504cbacked Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb208…d68dbacked No | 60c | 39.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +88%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26de…dd82backed Yes | 65c | 38.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa783…2603backed No | 41c | 36.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9459…fbcbbacked No | 34c | 36.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +193.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…57a2backed Yes | 55c | 36.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa9…d31cbacked No | 48c | 35.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb491…9917backed Yes | 57c | 34.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c0…8953backed No | 45c | 33.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…6644backed No | 38c | 33.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +161.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2b…439dbacked No | 52c | 32.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…4871backed No | 47c | 32.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa234…7da2backed Yes | 61c | 30.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa331…3129backed Yes | 59c | 29.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23e…9e2dbacked Yes | 53c | 28.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb28e…6e05backed Yes | 57c | 27.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5861…d869backed No | 46c | 26.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2455…3421backed No | 43c | 26.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe267…53a9backed Yes | 58c | 26.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8229…8584backed Yes | 67c | 24.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5f…ffb7backed No | 59c | 24.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…8af0backed Yes | 55c | 24.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb790…37cdbacked No | 43c | 23.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…e158backed Yes | 65c | 23.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aaron Rodgers retire?this page
- Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Indianapolis Colts?No won
- Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Las Vegas Raiders?No won
- Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Los Angeles Rams?No won
- Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Minnesota Vikings?No won
- Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the New York Giants?No won
- Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Pittsburgh Steelers?Yes won
- Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the San Francisco 49ers?No won
- Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Tennessee Titans?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.