NHL · resolved market
Will the Dallas Stars win the Western Conference?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcadd2bdf23f69b70bc7ee4bf9ef7bc8c9250953826ed3cf22289bf1c9ba7d2b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $314,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $310,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $314,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Yes | 47c | 73,384$34,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,683.23 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…02cdbacked No | 61c | 38,823$23,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,985.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…651ebacked Yes | 39c | 38,823$14,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,985.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Yes | 48c | 30,000$14,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,360.77 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed No | 52c | 20,486$10,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,814 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b0…6815backed No | 78c | 14,549$11,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225.46 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 45c | 11,541$5,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,239.01 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 62c | 9,438$5,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,575.39 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 35c | 9,075$3,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,211.7 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Yes | 33c | 7,601$2,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,544.99 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Yes | 47c | 6,000$2,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,826 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 10c | 5,000$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3391…dfe0backed Yes | 23c | 4,508$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 40c | 4,312$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.53 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Yes | 30c | 4,020$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.92 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Yes | 37c | 3,948$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.49 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 19c | 3,109$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.01 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed No | 53c | 3,092$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.86 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 11c | 2,672$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.55 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Yes | 47c | 2,568$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.53 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked No | 52c | 2,537$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.2 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed No | 53c | 2,202$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.18 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 11c | 2,154$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.95 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 59c | 1,787$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.26 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Yes | 24c | 1,544$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 40c | 1,507$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.92 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc979…4a98backed No | 55c | 1,493$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 30c | 1,176$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.29 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3c…2382backed Yes | 37c | 1,163$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a06…e830backed No | 53c | 950.57$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Yes | 24c | 900$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1e…f334backed Yes | 12c | 845.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed No | 37c | 689.38$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.31 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…ad20backed Yes | 48c | 643.75$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 62c | 534.85$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.29 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 29c | 517.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.32 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.1 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed No | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…d0d5backed Yes | 20c | 475.65$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.13 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x252b…8400backed Yes | 33c | 421.74$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.43 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 413.4$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.22 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30cd…f9f0backed Yes | 21c | 400.35$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.79 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 52c | 340.01$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.26 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…c91ebacked No | 66c | 303.46$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd74d…85e9backed No | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Yes | 17c | 300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7948…9917backed Yes | 60c | 250.01$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.66 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe64…873ebacked Yes | 39c | 250$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 76c | 221$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8213…2edbbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 25c | 207$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…2ae8backed No | 65c | 193.85$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…581abacked No | 52c | 190.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.84 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aea…afe5backed Yes | 64c | 156.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3d…8322backed No | 63c | 153.18$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed No | 79c | 151.19$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 62c | 149.96$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf526…35b1backed No | 67c | 142.4$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 27c | 139.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 29c | 125$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1446…939abacked No | 69c | 114.71$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…5f21backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab74…1b45backed Yes | 11c | 110$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 45c | 102$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1103…37c5backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 30c | 96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…2a22backed No | 75c | 95.53$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…8affbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 13c | 86.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 24c | 84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ede…4f0abacked No | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +405.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 67c | 78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked No | 57c | 75.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Yes | 18c | 67.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Yes | 35c | 62.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfd…6b71backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…f03ebacked Yes | 63c | 47.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e9…ba9abacked Yes | 48c | 41.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed1…cc85backed Yes | 48c | 41.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f75…8e2ebacked No | 37c | 41.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +169.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 27c | 40.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…0105backed No | 51c | 39.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff6…92a9backed Yes | 65c | 37.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34be…0b68backed No | 37c | 36.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +166.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…e0e1backed Yes | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa74…4c14backed No | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…cdf1backed Yes | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c30…3651backed Yes | 64c | 34.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 52c | 33.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 48c | 31.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…e423backed Yes | 51c | 29.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…8ddfbacked No | 70c | 28.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 63c | 24.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Dallas Stars win the Western Conference?this page
- Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?Yes won
- Will the Los Angeles Kings win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Minnesota Wild win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Seattle Kraken win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the St. Louis Blues win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Winnipeg Jets win the Western Conference?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.