TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$510,435
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$527,500

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $510,435 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbb06…d915backed Yes53c147,129$77,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,150.84560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked No47c55,357$26,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,259.6311445.6%52 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d60…03d8backed Yes52c51,103$26,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,339.231154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93fc…34b6backed No52c44,000$23,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,019.981020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-63.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3cf2…1facbacked Yes44c38,079$16,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,324.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+95.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec0c…077cbacked No56c38,079$21,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,324.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfde6…1f5cbacked Yes38c29,979$11,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,586.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xffc7…9ecabacked No62c29,979$18,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,586.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Yes49c24,694$12,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,548.341,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b0…6815backed Yes65c18,708$12,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,519.971656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Yes52c11,835$6,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,728.4517448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Yes62c11,000$6,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,203.4724457.4%140 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2ae…2a5fbacked No47c10,464$4,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,918.31580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+55.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed No43c9,954$4,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,284.434134.1%14 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes48c8,927$4,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,641.8311141.4%46 W · 65 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2214…5968backed Yes52c7,090$3,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,403.371154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed No38c6,180$2,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,355.278854.5%48 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked No47c6,000$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,82016645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Yes21c3,633$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,870.222934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Yes38c3,421$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,121.0213551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4344…caefbacked No79c3,111$2,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,448.812236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed No56c2,802$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562.166613.6%9 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-75.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No59c2,752$1,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,628.61,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes47c2,568$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.8211441.2%47 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No54c2,508$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.2933837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Yes50c2,326$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.8983652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1607352.1%38 W · 35 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Yes52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9609942.4%42 W · 57 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc368…2458backed Yes55c1,821$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b3a…16fbbacked No47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7051145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed No46c1,332$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.724027.5%11 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-36.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No58c1,324$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.563246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Yes36c1,182$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.7886649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes22c1,134$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.851861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x768f…d08cbacked No47c992.37$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.4130%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No2c960.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2722516.4%37 W · 188 L-1.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes51c701.65$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.811,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a45…1405backed Yes45c601.07$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.078047.5%38 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked No46c491.29$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.9928652.4%150 W · 136 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed No22c410.02$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes61c400.05$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.025164.7%33 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd602…0105backed No48c395.67$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.58560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4523…581abacked Yes61c364.36$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.363762.2%23 W · 14 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfca5…701abacked Yes47c353.85$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes43c299.99$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17191334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked No77c259.37$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.5436242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Yes52c239$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.7230551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb38c…e0e1backed Yes76c214$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.261040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes31c210.17$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.664245.2%19 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10066951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97da…d63bbacked Yes52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9620249.5%100 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ede…4f0abacked No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+405.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed No62c170$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.476450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf54a…1527backed Yes22c160.59$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+125.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b87…274cbacked No28c156$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d33…12a1backed Yes46c155$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd392…e400backed Yes27c148.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.153641.7%15 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcced…9ffebacked No26c146$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa895…4935backed Yes59c144.94$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.941844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes24c140$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.142144.4%187 W · 234 L-28.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcdfd…6b71backed Yes53c140$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb99…8c33backed No73c136.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.67862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed No22c135.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9131546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ec…b90ebacked Yes62c120.48$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.831643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Yes76c109.63$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5331744.2%140 W · 177 L+14.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dee…f4e6backed No40c107.59$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfbb…dc2bbacked Yes38c105$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.11723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28c3…42cbbacked Yes78c102.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.591172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbddf…2efcbacked No48c100.79$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.38616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick53cpaid-73.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd913…96bcbacked Yes53c100.53$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.253100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+138%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x384b…d038backed No48c100.02$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.01633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29dc…bf90backed Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc85a…8cd8backed Yes15c100$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857957%45 W · 34 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x570e…de2dbacked Yes53c91.7$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.11050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b95…8affbacked Yes22c90.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.916363.5%40 W · 23 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+27.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes26c79.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.862623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65ec…cea6backed Yes53c75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3d…25b7backed Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.972070%14 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d2c…193abacked Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.97650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ba…b3f9backed Yes52c58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.841457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x736c…7470backed Yes37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.05425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x285e…1978backed Yes38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x047b…ef6fbacked Yes44c50.17$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.091656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Yes59c49.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1170249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Yes53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1715158.3%88 W · 63 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea6…05e6backed Yes43c47.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+46.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e49…2742backed No48c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e96…f109backed Yes55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes40c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aea…afe5backed No64c39.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.38per pick52cpaid-70.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x59bf…9a5fbacked Yes37c37.54$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+168.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbda1…69fdbacked Yes61c37$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.431963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x095c…c93abacked No48c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c07…da3cbacked Yes36c33.01$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa823…851fbacked Yes53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75b1…15babacked Yes77c27.12$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.24540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-43.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8803…8ddfbacked No73c25.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.881330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87cd…6f2abacked No74c24.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.89540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e26…cdf1backed Yes53c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.282347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.